Rockford IceHogs vs Manitoba Moose prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonManitobaodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.36Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonManitoba +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonManitoba1.97Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonManitoba or drawodds up 1.53Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonManitobaodds down 2.00Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonManitobaodds down 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.21Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Rockford 1–4
Manitoba Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–65%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–216%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRockford IceHogs
Manitoba Moose
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Rockford 1–4
Manitoba - Feb 1, 2026: Manitoba Moose 2, Rockford IceHogs 1.
- Jan 31, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Rockford IceHogs 1.
- Jan 13, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 6, Manitoba Moose 2.
- Jan 10, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 2, Manitoba Moose 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 21, 2025: Manitoba Moose 4, Rockford IceHogs 1.
Last five games
Rockford
2-3-0 - Win, 3–0 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 25. Odds: Toronto 2.05, Rockford 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Toronto 2.10, Rockford 2.71.
- Loss, 1–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 18. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.15, Rockford 2.45.
- Loss, 2–4 against Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 17. Odds: Rockford 2.45, Grand Rapids 2.15.
- Loss, 0–2 against Iowa Wild, Oct 16. Odds: Rockford 2.42, Iowa 2.10.
Manitoba
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–3 at Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 28. Odds: Milwaukee 2.15, Manitoba 2.65.
- Loss, 3–6 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 27. Odds: Chicago 2.25, Manitoba 2.45.
- Win, 2–0 at Iowa Wild, Oct 24. Odds: Iowa 2.50, Manitoba 2.25.
- Win, 4–3 at Iowa Wild, Oct 23. Odds: Iowa 2.50, Manitoba 2.25.
- Loss, 3–4 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 21. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.20, Manitoba 2.55.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 07:53 Goal Manitoba Moose: Yoder C. assists: Duehr W., Burnside D. 0-1
- 11:06 Goal SHG Manitoba Moose: Gregor N. assists: Zhilkin D. 0-2
- 15:14 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Lardis N. assists: Felcman J., Toninato D. 1-2
2nd period1-0
- 00:47 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Hayes G. assists: Pouliot D., Felcman J. 2-2
3rd period1-4
- 00:35 Goal SHG Manitoba Moose: Yager B. 2-3
- 08:59 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Anhorn D. assists: Engelbert J. 3-3
- 12:03 Goal Manitoba Moose: Burnside D. assists: Yoder C. 3-4
- 14:50 Goal SHG Manitoba Moose: Phillips I. 3-5
- 18:01 Goal SHG Manitoba Moose: Zhilkin D. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Rockford IceHogs, 1 for Manitoba Moose.
- Goal differential gap of 2.8 per game — Rockford IceHogs −1.5, Manitoba Moose +1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Manitoba Moose.
- −2.8 goals away — Manitoba Moose averaged 5.5 at home and 2.7 away this season.
- Save % gap: Rockford IceHogs 89.4%, Manitoba Moose 92.2% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROC) | 2.24 | 2.24 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 2.52 | 2.52 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROC | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 | Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 |  Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rockford IceHogs host Manitoba Moose in the AHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.