Rockford IceHogs vs Texas Stars prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonRockfordodds down 2.57Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRockford +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRockfordodds down 1.97Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonRockford or drawodds down 1.53Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonRockfordodds down 1.96Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRockfordodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.77Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Rockford 4–1
Texas Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRockford IceHogs
Texas Stars
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Rockford 1–4
Texas - Apr 18, 2026: Texas Stars 5, Rockford IceHogs 1.
- Apr 17, 2026: Texas Stars 6, Rockford IceHogs 1.
- Jan 23, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 0, Texas Stars 5.
- Dec 27, 2025: Rockford IceHogs 8, Texas Stars 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: Texas Stars 5, Rockford IceHogs 2.
Last five games
Rockford
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–6 against Manitoba Moose, Oct 30. Odds: Rockford 2.24, Manitoba 2.52.
- Win, 3–0 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 25. Odds: Toronto 2.05, Rockford 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Toronto 2.10, Rockford 2.71.
- Loss, 1–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 18. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.15, Rockford 2.45.
- Loss, 2–4 against Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 17. Odds: Rockford 2.45, Grand Rapids 2.15.
Texas
1-3-1 - Loss, 3–6 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 31. Odds: Chicago 2.37, Texas 2.35.
- Win, 5–2 against Ontario Reign, Oct 24. Odds: Texas 2.55, Ontario 2.15.
- Loss, 3–5 against Ontario Reign, Oct 23. Odds: Texas 2.20, Ontario 2.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Manitoba Moose, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manitoba 1.91, Texas 3.00.
- Loss, 4–7 at Manitoba Moose, Oct 16. Odds: Manitoba 2.50, Texas 2.07.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:24 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Misiak M. assists: Seney B., Pouliot D. 1-0
- 03:51 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Hayes G. assists: Seney B., Misiak M. 2-0
- 12:11 Goal Texas Stars: Taylor T. assists: Becker J. 2-1
2nd period1-1
- 12:50 Goal PPG Texas Stars: Hryckowian D. assists: Sgarbossa M., Gleason B. 2-2
- 19:18 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Felcman J. assists: Hayes G., Pouliot D. 3-2
3rd period1-1
- 11:23 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Seney B. assists: Fitzgerald C. 4-2
- 13:22 Goal Texas Stars: Anderson J. assists: Fitzgerald C. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Texas Stars, who played yesterday.
- 0-4-1 away for Texas Stars this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Texas Stars.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Texas Stars.
- Save % gap: Rockford IceHogs 89.6%, Texas Stars 87.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROC) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TEX) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROC | +1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 |  Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 | Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rockford IceHogs host Texas Stars in the AHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.