Rögle vs Frölunda Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.30

Confidence58%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Full game

1X2LostFrolundaodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 58%
HandicapLostFrolunda +1.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)LostFrolundaodds up 1.97Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostFrolunda or drawodds up 1.54Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostFrolundaodds up 1.98Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.15Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDraw2.47Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 10% since they opened; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Rogle 14

Frolunda

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

FRO to winTo win 53% ROG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-5-09-2-0

Home / road split4-1-03-2-0

StreakL1W4

Rest4 days1 day

Goals for2.33.5

Goals against2.12.2

In the standings5th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+1.6

Goals for2.23.5

Goals against2.31.9

Shots on goal29.429.3

Shots against25.322.7

Shooting %7.5%11.9%

Save %91.3%92.1%

Power-play %10.0%18.4%

Penalty kill %76.5%88.9%

Faceoff %47.9%47.3%

Penalty minutes6.89.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Rogle 32

Frolunda

Rögle won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.6 ROG 2.6 · FRO 3.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 27, 2026: Frölunda 4, Rögle 5.
Mar 5, 2026: Frölunda 2, Rögle 3, after overtime.
Dec 26, 2025: Rögle 2, Frölunda 5.
Oct 28, 2025: Rögle 2, Frölunda 0.
Oct 11, 2025: Frölunda 4, Rögle 1.

Last five games

Rogle 2-3-0

Loss, 1–2 against Orebro, Oct 17. Odds: Rogle 1.65, Orebro 3.55.
Win, 2–1 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 15. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.78, Rogle 1.80.
Loss, 1–5 at Nitra, Oct 13. Odds: Nitra 2.72, Rogle 2.06.
Loss, 2–3 at Skellefteå, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
Win, 4–3 against HV 71, Oct 8.

Frolunda 4-1-0

Win, 6–2 against Djurgarden, Oct 20. Odds: Frolunda 1.52, Djurgarden 4.05.
Win, 3–2 against Skellefteå, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Frolunda 2.37, Skelleftea 2.27.
Win, 3–0 at Linkoping, Oct 15. Odds: Linkoping 2.64, Frolunda 2.44.
Win, 11–1 against Bordeaux, Oct 13. Odds: Frolunda 1.09, Bordeaux 19.60.
Loss, 2–3 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 10. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.95, Frölunda 1.75.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

19:03 2 min Frölunda: Johannesson S. High sticking

2nd period3-0

05:52 Goal Rögle: Kellman J. assists: Sandin L. 1-0
12:11 2 min Rögle: LaDue P. Holding the stick
16:12 Goal Rögle: Zaar D. 2-0
18:03 Goal Rögle: Horky L. assists: de Haan C., Friedman M. 3-0

3rd period1-1

09:43 Goal Rögle: Sundsvik A. assists: de Haan C., Everberg D. 4-0
12:05 2 min Rögle: Sundsvik A. Holding
18:05 2 min Rögle: Zether S. Roughing
18:05 2 min Rögle: Zether S. Roughing
18:05 2 min Rögle: Zether S. Unsportsmanlike conduct
18:05 2 min Frölunda: Westergard M. Roughing
18:05 2 min Frölunda: Lasu N. Roughing
19:19 Goal PPG Frölunda: Meijer B. assists: Hogberg L., Thorell E. 4-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Frölunda coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Rögle dropped from 1.92 to 1.73 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Rögle, 1 for Frölunda.
In goal: Holm A. for Rögle (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Normann T. for Frölunda (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Rögle this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ROG)	2.25	2.15	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (FRO)	2.75	3.00	Drifted
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap ROG	+0.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Rögle vs Frölunda prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details