Rögle vs Malmo Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Malmo +2.5 1.30

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostRogleodds up 1.76Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMalmo +2.5odds down 1.30Confidence 73%
Winner (incl. OT)LostRogleodds up 1.43Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostRogle or drawodds up 1.20Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostRogleodds up 1.40Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Rogle 31

Malmo

Final 0–3

Total goalsTotal 4 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

ROG to winTo win 56% MAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min0–34%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-5-06-3-3

Home / road split5-1-03-1-3

StreakW3W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.83.3

Goals against2.32.6

In the standings5th4th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.1+0.8

Goals for2.93.0

Goals against2.82.2

Shots on goal28.130.3

Shots against22.827.1

Shooting %10.3%9.9%

Save %88.2%91.9%

Power-play %10.0%19.5%

Penalty kill %65.8%72.5%

Faceoff %48.9%51.1%

Penalty minutes7.68.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Rogle 32

Malmo

Rögle won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.2 ROG 3.2 · MAL 3.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Feb 5, 2026: Malmo 1, Rögle 4.
Jan 17, 2026: Rögle 4, Malmo 6.
Oct 23, 2025: Rögle 5, Malmo 3.
Oct 16, 2025: Malmo 2, Rögle 3.
Mar 15, 2025: Rögle 0, Malmo 3.

Last five games

Rogle 4-1-0

Win, 5–4 at Frölunda, Oct 27. Odds: Frolunda 2.20, Rogle 2.75.
Win, 5–4 at Brynas, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Brynas 2.10, Rogle 3.00.
Win, 4–1 against Frölunda, Oct 22. Odds: Rogle 2.15, Frolunda 3.00.
Loss, 1–2 against Orebro, Oct 17. Odds: Rogle 1.65, Orebro 3.55.
Win, 2–1 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 15. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.78, Rogle 1.80.

Malmo 3-1-1

Win, 8–2 against Linkoping, Oct 27. Odds: Malmo 1.81, Linkoping 3.60.
Loss, 1–2 against Timrå, Oct 24. Odds: Malmo 2.01, Timra 3.20.
Win, 4–2 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 22. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.30, Malmo 1.91.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Djurgarden, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Djurgarden 2.18, Malmo 2.42.
Win, 6–0 against Orebro, Oct 15. Odds: Malmo 2.27, Orebro 2.83.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

12:58 2 min Rögle: LaDue P. Hooking

2nd period0-1

00:28 Goal Malmo: Persson C. assists: Hanzl R., Myrenberg J. 0-1
08:35 2 min Malmo: Berg-Paulsen T. Holding
12:59 2 min Malmo: Hemstrom K. High sticking

3rd period0-2

02:06 Goal Malmo: Hanzl R. assists: Dahlbeck K. 0-2
08:07 2 min Malmo: Hanzl R. Slashing
08:24 2 min Rögle: Everberg D. Interference
12:56 2 min Rögle: Sandin L. Unsportsmanlike conduct
12:56 2 min Malmo: Bjorkman F. Unsportsmanlike conduct
16:04 Goal ENG Malmo: Vesterheim P. assists: Berg-Paulsen T., Noren P. 0-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for Rögle coming into this game.
In goal: Holm A. for Rögle (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Blomgren O. for Malmo (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
5-1-0 at home for Rögle this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Rögle.
Save % gap: Rögle 88.2%, Malmo 91.9% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ROG)	1.68	1.76	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.75	4.50	Shortened
1X2: 2 (MAL)	4.00	3.80	Shortened
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap ROG	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Rögle vs Malmo prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details