Rögle vs Skellefteå Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.28

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostSkellefteaodds down 2.30Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.28Confidence 69%
HandicapWonRogle +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)SkellefteaConfidence 61%
Double chanceWonSkelleftea or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 68%
Draw no betPushSkelleftea1.74Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostSkellefteaodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.15Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Rogle 23

Skelleftea

Final 2–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 15% Decided in regulation

SKE to winTo win 63% 49% in regulation

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–118%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record3-3-05-1-0

StreakL2W4

Rest9 days9 days

Goals for2.63.4

Goals against2.92.2

In the standings12th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.3+1.2

Goals for2.63.4

Goals against2.92.2

Shots on goal29.032.2

Shots against23.521.5

Shooting %9.0%10.6%

Save %88.5%90.2%

Power-play %10.0%15.2%

Penalty kill %65.7%87.9%

Faceoff %48.1%50.4%

Penalty minutes9.16.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Rogle 14

Skelleftea

Skellefteå won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.8 ROG 2.0 · SKE 3.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 10, 2026: Skellefteå 3, Rögle 2.
May 2, 2026: Skellefteå 7, Rögle 3.
Apr 30, 2026: Rögle 2, Skellefteå 3.
Apr 28, 2026: Rögle 2, Skellefteå 1, after overtime.
Apr 25, 2026: Skellefteå 5, Rögle 1.

Last five games

Rogle 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Orebro, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Orebro 3.00, Rogle 2.10.
Loss, 0–3 against Malmo, Oct 29. Odds: Rogle 1.76, Malmo 3.80.
Win, 5–4 at Frölunda, Oct 27. Odds: Frolunda 2.20, Rogle 2.75.
Win, 5–4 at Brynas, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Brynas 2.10, Rogle 3.00.
Win, 4–1 against Frölunda, Oct 22. Odds: Rogle 2.15, Frolunda 3.00.

Skelleftea 4-0-1

Win, 5–3 against IF Bjorkloven, Oct 31. Odds: Skelleftea 1.27, Bjorkloven 8.00.
Win, 3–1 against Linkoping, Oct 29. Odds: Skelleftea 1.32, Linkoping 7.00.
Win, 8–1 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 24. Odds: Bjorkloven 6.00, Skelleftea 1.39.
Win, 4–1 against Djurgarden, Oct 22. Odds: Skelleftea 1.44, Djurgarden 5.50.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Frölunda, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Frolunda 2.37, Skelleftea 2.27.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

03:09 Goal Rögle: Kuhlman K. assists: Friedman M. 1-0
06:23 Goal Skellefteå: Nordlund V. assists: Fasching H., Lindberg V. 1-1
06:45 2 min Skellefteå: Forsfjall Z. Interference
11:25 2 min Rögle: de Haan C. Holding
12:25 2 min Skellefteå: Johnson A. Tripping

2nd period0-0

02:34 2 min Skellefteå: Johansson P. Tripping
10:01 2 min Rögle: LaDue P. Interference
11:15 2 min Skellefteå: Lindberg O. Tripping
15:15 2 min Rögle: Sandin L. Roughing

3rd period1-1

03:24 Goal Skellefteå: Johnson A. assists: Djuse E., Vuollet O. 1-2
04:30 2 min Skellefteå: Hugg R. Roughing
04:30 2 min Rögle: Everberg D. Roughing
06:01 2 min Skellefteå: Lundberg A. Roughing
08:22 Goal Rögle: Horky L. assists: Everberg D., Olofsson F. 2-2
09:25 2 min Rögle: LaDue P. High sticking
10:45 2 min Rögle: Everberg D. Roughing
10:45 2 min Skellefteå: Hugg R. Roughing
16:39 2 min Skellefteå: Lindberg O. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Skellefteå coming into this game.
Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Rögle −0.3, Skellefteå +1.2 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Skellefteå.
5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
12th vs 2nd in the Champions Hockey League standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ROG)	2.60	2.60	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (SKE)	2.15	2.15	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap ROG	+1.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Champions Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Plzen	5	5	0	0	15	1.500	24	9	+15
2	Skelleftea	6	5	1	0	15	1.250	24	12	+12
3	Pardubice	6	5	1	0	14	1.167	22	9	+13
4	Kolner	5	5	0	0	14	1.400	21	9	+12
5	Frolunda	6	4	1	1	12	1.000	28	14	+14
6	Adler Mannheim	6	4	2	0	11	.917	20	20	0
7	Tappara	6	3	1	2	11	.917	19	18	+1
8	Vaxjo	6	3	2	1	10	.833	16	11	+5
9	SaiPa	5	3	1	1	10	1.000	16	14	+2
10	KooKoo	6	3	2	1	10	.833	20	19	+1
11	Fribourg	5	3	2	0	9	.900	18	12	+6
12	Rogle	6	3	3	0	9	.750	13	12	+1
13	Servette	5	3	2	0	9	.900	12	11	+1
14	Eisbaren Berlin	5	3	2	0	9	.900	14	19	−5
15	Davos	5	3	2	0	8	.800	19	15	+4
16	Nitra	6	3	3	0	8	.667	15	19	−4
17	Liberec	5	3	2	0	7	.700	14	14	0
18	Storhamar	5	2	2	1	6	.600	11	13	−2
19	Bordeaux	6	1	4	1	4	.333	16	35	−19
20	Salzburg	6	1	5	0	3	.250	13	24	−11
21	Klagenfurt	5	1	4	0	2	.200	8	14	−6
22	Herning Blue Fox	5	0	4	1	1	.100	6	19	−13
23	Tychy	6	0	5	1	1	.083	10	24	−14
24	Graz99ers	5	0	5	0	0	.000	8	21	−13

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Rögle vs Skellefteå prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details