RoKi U20 vs Vaasan Sport U20 prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonSport U20odds down 1.36Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.57Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostRoKi U20 +2.51.65Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSport U20odds down 1.20Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonSport U20 or drawodds down 1.10Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonSport U20Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSport U20odds down 1.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.49Confidence 66%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min1–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 21, 2026: Vaasan Sport U20 6, RoKi U20 2.
- Oct 26, 2025: RoKi U20 2, Vaasan Sport U20 6.
- Sep 21, 2025: Vaasan Sport U20 5, RoKi U20 3.
- Sep 12, 2025: RoKi U20 4, Vaasan Sport U20 7.
- Feb 14, 2025: RoKi U20 2, Vaasan Sport U20 7.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–5 at Karpat U20, Oct 14. Odds: Karpat U20 1.24, RoKi U20 6.50.
- Loss, 3–7 at TPS U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Lukko U20, Oct 9. Odds: Lukko U20 1.15, RoKi U20 10.00.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki U20, Sep 27.
- Loss, 2–7 at Karpat U20, Oct 16. Odds: Karpat U20 1.74, Sport U20 3.25.
- Loss, 3–5 against Assat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Sport U20 2.40, Assat U20 2.25.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Karpat U20, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 against IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 at Jokerit U20, after overtime, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-3
- 03:02 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Hannula A. assists: Karjala O., Lassander J. 0-1
- 04:38 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Andrey T. assists: Flugins K., Kohvakka O. 0-2
- 09:26 Goal PPG Vaasan Sport U20: Flugins K. assists: Andrey T., Vatanen N. 0-3
3rd period1-2
- 02:19 Goal PPG RoKi U20: Halonen A. assists: Tuomi N., Strazdins R. 1-3
- 14:33 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Andrey T. assists: Karjala O., Vanninen E. 1-4
- 17:04 Goal ENG Vaasan Sport U20: Sjoman J. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Vaasan Sport U20, who played yesterday.
- 9-game losing streak for RoKi U20 coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Vaasan Sport U20 coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Vaasan Sport U20.
- +0.9 goals at home — RoKi U20 averaged 3.2 at home and 2.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROK) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VSU) | 1.38 | 1.38 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7 | Line raised |
| Handicap ROK | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
RoKi U20 host Vaasan Sport U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.