RoKi vs IPK prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 38% in regulation
Parviainen O.StartedSV 91.2% · GAA 2.40 · 6-4-0
Kerkola P.StartedSV 92% · GAA 1.90 · 7-3-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonIPKodds up 2.15Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.56Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRoKi +1.51.35Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIPKodds up 1.73Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonIPK or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonIPKodds up 1.74Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.RoKi 2–3
IPK Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period2–213%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 1-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRoKi
IPK
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
RoKi 1–4
IPK - Sep 19, 2026: IPK 3, RoKi 2.
- Feb 28, 2026: IPK 6, RoKi 1.
- Feb 3, 2026: RoKi 3, IPK 4, after overtime.
- Jan 10, 2026: IPK 5, RoKi 1.
- Dec 19, 2025: RoKi 5, IPK 3.
Last five games
RoKi
4-1-0 - Win, 6–2 against Pyry, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
- Loss, 2–5 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 10.
- Win, 1–0 at Kettera, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kettera 2.14, RoKi 2.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Kiekko-Pojat, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 against K-Vantaa, Oct 2.
IPK
3-1-1 - Loss, 0–4 against TUTO, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against KeuPa, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
- Win, 5–3 at Pyry, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–1 at KeuPa, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–0 against K-Vantaa, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 00:17 Goal IPK: Virtanen J. assists: Suhonen P., Leppanen T. 0-1
- 02:03 Goal RoKi: Heinonen J. assists: Kenttamaa A., Ohtonen J. 1-1
- 02:26 Goal RoKi: Strazdins R. assists: Ohtonen J., Siira L. 2-1
- 14:20 Goal IPK: Lausniemi A. 2-2
2nd period1-2
- 09:32 Goal RoKi: Manninen J. assists: Alanko T., Orn T. 3-2
- 12:49 Goal IPK: Tolppola V. assists: Jaatinen O., Mykra O. 3-3
- 17:29 Goal IPK: Junkkari J. assists: Suhonen P., Gronblom T. 3-4
3rd period1-1
- 08:49 Goal IPK: Mykra O. assists: Tolppola V., Jaatinen O. 3-5
- 13:06 Goal RoKi: Vierimaa W. assists: Lindroos V., Gronlund N. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0-0 at home for RoKi this season.
- In goal: Parviainen O. for RoKi (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Kerkola P. for IPK (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for IPK.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for RoKi.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROK) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (IPK) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROK | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 | RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
RoKi host IPK in the Mestis on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.