RoKi vs KeuPa prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 27% in regulation
Hyypia E.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 2.60 · 6-4-0
Pasanen J.StartedSV 79.6% · GAA 2.63 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostRoKiodds up 1.53Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKeuPa +1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRoKiodds up 1.31Confidence 64%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonRoKi or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 91%
- Draw no betPushRoKiodds up 1.26Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRoKiodds up 2.01Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.RoKi 3–2
KeuPa Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%), 4-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formRoKi
KeuPa
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
RoKi 4–1
KeuPa - Sep 26, 2026: KeuPa 2, RoKi 5.
- Jan 14, 2026: KeuPa 3, RoKi 5.
- Jan 2, 2026: RoKi 3, KeuPa 4.
- Nov 20, 2025: KeuPa 2, RoKi 4.
- Nov 12, 2025: RoKi 6, KeuPa 3.
Last five games
RoKi
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–4 at Hermes, Oct 23. Odds: Hermes 2.30, RoKi 2.40.
- Loss, 4–5 against IPK, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Win, 6–2 against Pyry, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
- Loss, 2–5 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 10.
- Win, 1–0 at Kettera, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kettera 2.14, RoKi 2.75.
KeuPa
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 at Hermes, Oct 21. Odds: Hermes 1.65, KeuPa 3.70.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hermes, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
- Win, 5–2 at K-Vantaa, Oct 15. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.66, KeuPa 4.00.
- Win, 4–3 at IPK, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 18:22 Goal RoKi: Viljakainen J. assists: Laakso E., Heinonen J. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 19:39 Goal KeuPa: Vuontisvaara O. assists: Jarvenpaa M., Hokkanen R. 1-1
3rd period1-1
- 06:37 Goal KeuPa: Hokkanen R. assists: Eloranta E., Paganus T. 1-2
- 08:32 Goal RoKi: Mikkola M. assists: Vierimaa W., Ruusunen R. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 01:27 Goal KeuPa: Matikainen K. assists: Keihas R. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for RoKi, who played yesterday.
- In goal: Hyypia E. for RoKi (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Pasanen J. for KeuPa (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-1-0 at home for RoKi this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for RoKi.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROK) | 1.59 | 1.67 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.35 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KEU) | 4.16 | 3.60 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ROK | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 | RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 | KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
RoKi host KeuPa in the Mestis on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.