RoKi vs Pyry prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonRoKi1.67Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRoKi +0.5odds down 1.25Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRoKiodds up 1.40Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonRoKi or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 78%
- Draw no betWonRoKiodds up 1.40Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRoKiodds up 2.14Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: Pyry 3, RoKi 1.
- Jan 24, 2026: RoKi 5, Pyry 1.
- Jan 3, 2026: RoKi 8, Pyry 1.
- Nov 21, 2025: Pyry 4, RoKi 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 15, 2025: Pyry 1, RoKi 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–5 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 10.
- Win, 1–0 at Kettera, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kettera 2.14, RoKi 2.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Kiekko-Pojat, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 against K-Vantaa, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–2 at KeuPa, Sep 26.
- Loss, 0–2 at Kettera, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 against IPK, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at TUTO, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–5 at Hermes, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 02:45 Goal Pyry: Haataja V. assists: Frantsila K. 0-1
- 14:46 Goal PPG RoKi: Sikorski A. assists: Savolainen V., Laakso E. 1-1
- 19:51 Goal RoKi: Kaarela E. assists: Laakso E. 2-1
2nd period2-0
- 05:00 Goal RoKi: Alanko T. assists: Savolainen V., Orn T. 3-1
- 16:53 Goal RoKi: Gronlund N. assists: Vierimaa W., Ruusunen R. 4-1
3rd period2-1
- 05:58 Goal RoKi: Savolainen V. assists: Orn T., Alanko T. 5-1
- 07:54 Goal Pyry: Rantanen J. assists: Hietamaki T., Saavola T. 5-2
- 18:41 Goal ENG RoKi: Savolainen V. assists: Orn T., Alanko T. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 0-4-1 away for Pyry this season.
- In goal: Parviainen O. for RoKi (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Makela A. for Pyry (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — RoKi +0.3, Pyry −0.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for RoKi.
- +2.1 goals at home — RoKi averaged 4.3 at home and 2.2 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROK) | 1.62 | 1.65 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.58 | 4.54 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (PYR) | 4.16 | 3.99 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ROK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 | |
| 9 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
RoKi host Pyry in the Mestis on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.