Rouen vs Cergy-Pontoise prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonRouenodds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonRouen -1.51.57Confidence 63%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonRouenodds up 1.17Confidence 93%
- Double chanceWonRouen or draw1.10Confidence 84%
- Draw no betWonRouen1.14Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonRouen1.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–012%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 16, 2026: Cergy-Pontoise 4, Rouen 3, after overtime.
- Feb 6, 2026: Cergy-Pontoise 2, Rouen 5.
- Dec 30, 2025: Rouen 4, Cergy-Pontoise 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Cergy-Pontoise 0, Rouen 3.
- Sep 26, 2025: Rouen 4, Cergy-Pontoise 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against Angers, Oct 23. Odds: Rouen 1.67, Angers 3.65.
- Win, 4–1 at Dunkerque Corsaires, Oct 20. Odds: Dunkerque 14.50, Rouen 1.07.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Cergy-Pontoise, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Cergy-Pontoise 3.27, Rouen 1.83.
- Win, 3–0 against Marseille, Oct 15. Odds: Rouen 1.55, Marseille 3.50.
- Loss, 1–2 against Angers, Oct 12. Odds: Rouen 1.70, Angers 3.60.
- Win, 3–2 against Briancon, Oct 25. Odds: Cergy-Pontoise 1.65, Briancon 3.80.
- Win, 4–1 at Briancon, Oct 23. Odds: Briancon 2.65, Cergy-Pontoise 2.12.
- Win, 7–2 at Epinal, Oct 20.
- Win, 4–3 against Rouen, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Cergy-Pontoise 3.27, Rouen 1.83.
- Win, 5–2 against Anglet, Oct 9. Odds: Cergy-Pontoise 1.70, Anglet 3.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:17 Goal Rouen: Cormier T. 1-0
2nd period1-1
- 04:29 Goal Cergy-Pontoise: Pardo T. assists: Stromgren F. 1-1
- 14:51 Goal PPG Rouen: Simonsen T. assists: Cormier T. 2-1
3rd period2-0
- 18:25 Goal ENG Rouen: Lafrance S. assists: Perret T. 3-1
- 18:57 Goal Rouen: Rech A. assists: Baptiste N., Shalei N. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Cergy-Pontoise coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Rouen, 1 for Cergy-Pontoise.
- 7-1-0 at home for Rouen this season.
- 1-3-1 away for Cergy-Pontoise this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Rouen +1.8, Cergy-Pontoise +0.4 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROU) | 1.33 | 1.36 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.10 | 5.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CER) | 6.40 | 6.20 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Ligue Magnus standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 1.250 | 60 | 29 | +31 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 51 | 29 | +22 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | .933 | 48 | 40 | +8 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | .786 | 45 | 52 | −7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22 | .733 | 40 | 39 | +1 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 39 | 42 | −3 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 34 | 50 | −16 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 27 | 39 | −12 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7 | .250 | 29 | 51 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rouen host Cergy-Pontoise in the Ligue Magnus on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.