Rouen vs Marseille prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonRouenodds up 1.52Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.34Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostMarseille +1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRouen1.34Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonRouen or drawodds up 1.16Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonRouen1.29Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRouenodds down 2.02Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 22, 2026: Marseille 5, Rouen 1.
- Jan 27, 2026: Marseille 0, Rouen 5.
- Dec 21, 2025: Rouen 5, Marseille 2.
- Nov 28, 2025: Marseille 0, Rouen 6.
- Sep 19, 2025: Rouen 4, Marseille 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 against Angers, Oct 12. Odds: Rouen 1.70, Angers 3.60.
- Win, 4–3 against Chamonix Mont-Blanc, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Rouen 1.42, Chamonix 4.75.
- Win, 5–2 against Anglet, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–0 at Nice, Oct 2.
- Win, 2–0 against Amiens, Sep 29.
- Win, 5–2 against Gap, Oct 9. Odds: Marseille 1.50, Gap 4.40.
- Win, 5–4 at Grenoble, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 against Angers, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 at Chamonix Mont-Blanc, after overtime, Sep 29.
- Win, 4–3 against Nice, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-0
- 00:29 Goal Rouen: Simonsen T. 1-0
- 05:32 Goal Rouen: McClennon C. assists: Rech A. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 17:39 Goal Rouen: Lafrance S. assists: Baptiste N., Roy P. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Marseille coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Marseille, 2 for Rouen.
- 5-1-0 at home for Rouen this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Rouen.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Rouen.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ROU) | 1.55 | 1.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAR) | 3.50 | 3.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ROU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Ligue Magnus standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 1.250 | 60 | 29 | +31 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 51 | 29 | +22 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | .933 | 48 | 40 | +8 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | .786 | 45 | 52 | −7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22 | .733 | 40 | 39 | +1 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 39 | 42 | −3 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 34 | 50 | −16 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 27 | 39 | −12 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7 | .250 | 29 | 51 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rouen host Marseille in the Ligue Magnus on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.