Rungsted vs Esbjerg prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostEsbjergodds up 1.98Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonRungsted +1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostEsbjerg1.70Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostEsbjerg or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostEsbjergodds up 1.61Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostEsbjergodds up 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min6–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 10, 2026: Rungsted 1, Esbjerg 2, after overtime.
- Oct 19, 2026: Esbjerg 2, Rungsted 6.
- Mar 22, 2026: Esbjerg 3, Rungsted 6.
- Mar 20, 2026: Rungsted 5, Esbjerg 3.
- Mar 17, 2026: Esbjerg 3, Rungsted 5.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 at Frederikshavn, Oct 23. Odds: Frederikshavn 2.18, Rungsted 2.45.
- Win, 6–2 at Esbjerg, Oct 19. Odds: Esbjerg 1.67, Rungsted 3.50.
- Loss, 1–6 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 16. Odds: Rungsted 2.16, Sonderjyske 2.72.
- Loss, 0–3 at Herlev, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
- Loss, 3–5 against Herlev, Oct 9. Odds: Rungsted 2.14, Herlev 2.55.
- Loss, 1–4 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 23. Odds: Esbjerg 3.80, Herning 1.57.
- Loss, 2–6 against Rungsted, Oct 19. Odds: Esbjerg 1.67, Rungsted 3.50.
- Win, 4–2 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
- Win, 5–2 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 5.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:14 Goal PPG Rungsted: Kindopp B. assists: Liss O., Froland D. 1-0
2nd period5-0
- 06:10 Goal Rungsted: Hull V. assists: Olhaver G., Karlsson F. 2-0
- 09:32 Goal PPG Rungsted: Karlsson F. 3-0
- 12:23 Goal Rungsted: Urup J. assists: Liss O. 4-0
- 13:29 Goal Rungsted: Karlsson F. assists: Hull V., Daly T. 5-0
- 17:09 Goal Rungsted: Nielsson A. assists: Olhaver G., Karlsson F. 6-0
3rd period0-2
- 03:05 Goal PPG Esbjerg: Lajeunesse T. assists: Franklin Z., Kjaer O. 6-1
- 11:20 Goal Esbjerg: Downing G. assists: Andersen N., Laskovs E. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-5-0 at home for Rungsted this season.
- In goal: Vilykke T. for Rungsted (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Seldrup M. for Esbjerg (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Rungsted.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Rungsted.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (RUN) | 2.45 | 2.55 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ESB) | 2.18 | 2.11 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap RUN | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 | |
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 | |
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rungsted host Esbjerg in the Metal Ligaen on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.