Rungsted vs Sonderjyske Ishockey prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostRungstedodds up 1.95Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.42Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSonderjyske +2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRungstedodds up 1.62Confidence 59%
- Double chanceLostRungsted or drawodds up 1.35Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostRungstedodds up 1.57Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRungstedodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min1–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 20, 2026: Sonderjyske Ishockey 3, Rungsted 2.
- Jan 30, 2026: Sonderjyske Ishockey 2, Rungsted 4.
- Dec 8, 2025: Sonderjyske Ishockey 4, Rungsted 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Rungsted 4, Sonderjyske Ishockey 2.
- Nov 2, 2025: Sonderjyske Ishockey 4, Rungsted 5, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–3 at Herlev, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
- Loss, 3–5 against Herlev, Oct 9. Odds: Rungsted 2.14, Herlev 2.55.
- Win, 1–0 at Aalborg, Oct 4.
- Loss, 4–7 against Aalborg, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–2 against Odense Bulldogs, Sep 29.
- Loss, 2–4 against Esbjerg, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Esbjerg, Oct 9. Odds: Esbjerg 1.63, Sonderjyske 3.55.
- Win, 3–1 against Herlev, Oct 5.
- Loss, 1–3 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 2.
- Win, 2–1 at Aalborg, Sep 28.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-3
- 06:28 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Almquist M. assists: Vitolins R. 0-1
- 08:20 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Lukosevicius J. assists: Florchuk E. 0-2
- 10:09 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Lundgren J. assists: Bouramman G., Bryhnisveen M. 0-3
3rd period1-3
- 08:23 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Almquist M. 0-4
- 14:59 Goal PPG Rungsted: Ahlberg V. assists: Olhaver G., Buncis F. 1-4
- 16:02 Goal PPG Sonderjyske Ishockey: Mogensen A. assists: Florchuk E., Lukosevicius J. 1-5
- 18:39 Goal Sonderjyske Ishockey: Mogensen A. assists: Bouramman G., Lukosevicius J. 1-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-0 at home for Rungsted this season.
- In goal: Grubak D. for Rungsted (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Lillie T. for Sonderjyske Ishockey (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Rungsted.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 4th in the Metal Ligaen standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (RUN) | 2.16 | 2.16 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.06 | 4.06 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SON) | 2.72 | 2.72 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap RUN | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 | |
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 | |
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Rungsted host Sonderjyske Ishockey in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.