Saginaw Spirit vs Erie Otters prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonSaginawodds down 2.14Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostErie +1.5odds up 1.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSaginawodds down 1.72Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonSaginaw or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonSaginawodds down 1.70Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSaginawodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.55Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Saginaw 4–3
Erie Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–02%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonSaginaw Spirit
Erie Otters
Head-to-head
Saginaw 4–1
Erie - Mar 8, 2026: Erie Otters 5, Saginaw Spirit 7.
- Feb 6, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 4, Erie Otters 1.
- Jan 17, 2026: Erie Otters 1, Saginaw Spirit 6.
- Oct 24, 2025: Saginaw Spirit 5, Erie Otters 3.
- Apr 5, 2025: Saginaw Spirit 3, Erie Otters 6.
Last five games
Saginaw
0-5-0 - Loss, 3–5 at London Knights, Nov 6. Odds: London 1.98, Saginaw 2.95.
- Loss, 3–5 against Guelph Storm, Oct 31. Odds: Saginaw 4.60, Guelph 1.53.
- Loss, 0–2 against Barrie Colts, Oct 30. Odds: Saginaw 1.53, Barrie 4.60.
- Loss, 2–5 at Soo Greyhounds, Oct 28. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.05, Saginaw 2.70.
- Loss, 2–6 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 24. Odds: Flint 2.00, Saginaw 2.88.
Erie
4-1-0 - Win, 6–4 at Flint Firebirds, Nov 6. Odds: Flint 1.72, Erie 3.70.
- Win, 7–0 at Soo Greyhounds, Nov 4. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 1.70, Erie 3.70.
- Win, 4–3 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 30. Odds: Sarnia 1.95, Erie 3.00.
- Loss, 0–3 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 29. Odds: Windsor 1.95, Erie 3.00.
- Win, 5–2 at Brampton Steelheads, Oct 25. Odds: Brampton 2.50, Erie 2.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 10:06 Goal PPG Saginaw Spirit: Zhilkin D. assists: Klepov N., Harper L. 1-0
- 19:01 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Klepov N. assists: Wassilyn B., Harper L. 2-0
- 19:26 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Pepoy B. assists: Cloutier J. 3-0
2nd period1-0
- 06:11 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Geldart G. assists: Pepoy B., Martyniuk T. 4-0
3rd period1-0
- 13:11 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Zhilkin D. 5-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Saginaw Spirit and Erie Otters played yesterday.
- 7-game losing streak for Saginaw Spirit coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Erie Otters coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Saginaw Spirit.
- 8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAG) | 2.16 | 2.05 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ERI) | 2.49 | 2.75 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7 | Line raised |
| Handicap SAG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guelph Storm |
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 |
| 2 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 3 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 4 |  London Knights |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 |
| 5 |  Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 6 |  Kitchener Rangers |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 |
| 7 | Erie Otters |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 |
| 8 | Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 9 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
| 10 |  Owen Sound Attack |
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Saginaw Spirit host Erie Otters in the OHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.