Saginaw Spirit vs Flint Firebirds prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostFlintodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.33Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFlint +1.5odds up 1.45Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFlintodds up 2.00Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonFlint or drawodds up 1.55Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushFlintodds up 2.02Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonFlintodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.54Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Saginaw 2–5
Flint Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–37%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-5 (4%), 2-4 (3%), 3-6 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonSaginaw Spirit
Flint Firebirds
Head-to-head
Saginaw 1–4
Flint - Oct 24, 2026: Flint Firebirds 6, Saginaw Spirit 2.
- Sep 19, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 4, Flint Firebirds 5.
- Mar 14, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 1, Flint Firebirds 5.
- Feb 11, 2026: Flint Firebirds 4, Saginaw Spirit 5.
- Jan 9, 2026: Flint Firebirds 4, Saginaw Spirit 2.
Last five games
Saginaw
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 18. Odds: Saginaw 1.53, Owen Sound 4.45.
- Win, 7–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 17. Odds: Saginaw 1.60, Sarnia 3.78.
- Win, 9–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 16. Odds: Sarnia 2.61, Saginaw 2.07.
- Win, 3–2 at Windsor Spitfires, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Windsor 2.41, Saginaw 2.34.
- Win, 4–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 10.
Flint
4-0-1 - Win, 3–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 17. Odds: Flint 1.32, Owen Sound 6.50.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 6–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 7.
- Win, 7–2 at London Knights, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 04:32 Goal Flint Firebirds: Klaucans M. assists: Williams C., Hotles C. 0-1
- 08:26 Goal PPG Flint Firebirds: Lombardi J. assists: Klaucans M., Bogas N. 0-2
- 11:27 Goal PPG Flint Firebirds: Smith B. assists: Williams C., Nutting L. 0-3
2nd period2-0
- 02:06 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Cloutier J. assists: Wassilyn B. 1-3
- 14:55 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Wassilyn B. assists: Zhilkin D., Martyniuk T. 2-3
3rd period1-0
- 12:33 Goal Saginaw Spirit: George B. assists: Pepoy B., Hanrahan R. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-2
-
Round 1
Zhilkin D.
✓scored
Lombardi J.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Wassilyn B.
✗missed
Anderson D.
✓scored
-
Round 3
Bate D.
✗missed
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Flint Firebirds.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Saginaw Spirit.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Flint Firebirds.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 4th vs 3rd in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAG) | 2.10 | 2.07 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (FLI) | 2.80 | 2.75 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap SAG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 2 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 3 | Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 4 | Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 5 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Saginaw Spirit host Flint Firebirds in the OHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.