Saginaw Spirit vs Sarnia Sting prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonSaginawodds down 1.69Confidence 52%
- Over/UnderLostU8.5odds up 1.37Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSarnia +1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSaginawodds down 1.42Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonSaginaw or drawodds down 1.24Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonSaginawodds down 1.37Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.02Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSaginawodds down 2.09Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Saginaw 4–3
Sarnia Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min7–42%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 3-2 (2%), 2-1 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonSaginaw Spirit
Sarnia Sting
Head-to-head
Saginaw 3–2
Sarnia - Oct 16, 2026: Sarnia Sting 2, Saginaw Spirit 9.
- Mar 21, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 3, Sarnia Sting 4, after overtime.
- Mar 15, 2026: Sarnia Sting 3, Saginaw Spirit 7.
- Feb 21, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 4, Sarnia Sting 7.
- Feb 13, 2026: Sarnia Sting 3, Saginaw Spirit 11.
Last five games
Saginaw
4-0-1 - Win, 9–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 16. Odds: Sarnia 2.61, Saginaw 2.07.
- Win, 3–2 at Windsor Spitfires, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Windsor 2.41, Saginaw 2.34.
- Win, 4–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Brampton Steelheads, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 2.
Sarnia
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–9 against Saginaw Spirit, Oct 16. Odds: Sarnia 2.61, Saginaw 2.07.
- Loss, 2–5 against Guelph Storm, Oct 14. Odds: Sarnia 4.95, Guelph 1.46.
- Loss, 4–6 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–0 against Oshawa Generals, Oct 9. Odds: Sarnia 1.63, Oshawa 3.75.
- Win, 3–0 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:12 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Hanrahan R. assists: Zhilkin D., Harper L. 1-0
- 12:24 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Savin D. assists: Cloutier J., Harper L. 2-0
- 14:51 Goal PPG Sarnia Sting: Van Volsen J. assists: Walos E., Hawery L. 2-1
2nd period2-2
- 01:47 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Savin D. assists: Barnes B., Pepoy B. 3-1
- 06:58 Goal PPG Sarnia Sting: Manza M. assists: Hawery L., Emerton C. 3-2
- 11:21 Goal PPG Sarnia Sting: Walos E. assists: Emerton C., Hawery L. 3-3
- 19:01 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Harper L. assists: Martyniuk T., Zhilkin D. 4-3
3rd period3-1
- 13:15 Goal Sarnia Sting: Gulbrandsen J. assists: Van Volsen J. 4-4
- 19:01 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Harper L. assists: Pepoy B. 5-4
- 19:25 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Zhilkin D. 6-4
- 19:45 Goal ENG Saginaw Spirit: Milojevic A. 7-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Saginaw Spirit and Sarnia Sting played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Saginaw Spirit coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Sarnia Sting coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Saginaw Spirit dropped from 1.46 to 1.27 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Saginaw Spirit.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAG) | 1.80 | 1.60 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SAR) | 3.10 | 3.78 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap SAG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 2 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 3 |  Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 4 | Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 5 | Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Saginaw Spirit host Sarnia Sting in the OHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.