SaiPa U20 vs Ilves U20 prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonIlves U20odds up 1.92Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.37Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostSaiPa U20 +1.51.45Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIlves U20odds up 1.58Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonIlves U20 or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonIlves U20Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIlves U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.57Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
SaiPa U20 3–4
Ilves U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min3–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period3–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (2%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonSaiPa U20
Ilves U20
Head-to-head
SaiPa U20 0–5
Ilves U20 - Oct 17, 2026: Ilves U20 5, SaiPa U20 2.
- Feb 14, 2026: SaiPa U20 4, Ilves U20 9.
- Dec 13, 2025: Ilves U20 4, SaiPa U20 1.
- Feb 22, 2025: SaiPa U20 2, Ilves U20 6.
- Dec 20, 2024: Ilves U20 6, SaiPa U20 1.
Last five games
SaiPa U20
2-2-1 - Loss, 3–4 against KooKoo U20, Oct 29. Odds: SaiPa U20 1.65, KooKoo U20 3.70.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Pelicans Lahti U20, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.30, SaiPa U20 6.70.
- Win, 4–2 at KooKoo U20, Oct 21. Odds: KooKoo U20 2.80, SaiPa U20 1.91.
- Loss, 2–5 at Ilves U20, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves U20 1.58, SaiPa U20 3.75.
- Win, 7–3 at Tappara U20, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara U20 1.42, SaiPa U20 4.65.
Ilves U20
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Tappara U20, Oct 30. Odds: Ilves U20 1.83, Tappara U20 3.10.
- Loss, 2–4 against Hameenlinna U20, Oct 23. Odds: Ilves U20 2.55, HPK U20 2.08.
- Win, 6–2 at Tappara U20, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara U20 2.30, Ilves U20 2.35.
- Win, 5–2 against SaiPa U20, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves U20 1.58, SaiPa U20 3.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Ilves U20, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on SaiPa U20 dropped from 2.27 to 1.92 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves U20.
- 8.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 14th vs 11th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAI) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ILV) | 2.18 | 2.18 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SAI | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 |  Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 |  Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 | Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 | SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SaiPa U20 host Ilves U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.