SaiPa vs Hameenlinna Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

SaiPa or draw 1.27

Confidence78%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2WonSaiPaodds down 1.84Confidence 52%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.28Confidence 74%
HandicapWonHPK +1.51.55Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSaiPa1.50Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSaiPa or draw1.27Confidence 78%
Draw no betWonSaiPa1.42Confidence 73%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.15Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonSaiPaodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.69Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

SaiPa 21

HPK

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

SAI to winTo win 67% SAI won

Score details

Correct scoreWon2–1After 60 min2–15%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–020%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 1-0, 0-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-3-17-5-0

Home / road split4-1-12-3-0

StreakL2W4

RestBack-to-back4 days

Goals for2.72.3

Goals against1.82.9

In the standings6th14th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3−0.9

Goals for2.62.0

Goals against2.32.9

Shots on goal25.820.0

Shots against24.929.7

Shooting %10.1%10.0%

Save %91.2%90.9%

Power-play %20.0%10.7%

Penalty kill %90.5%81.3%

Faceoff %50.0%46.9%

Penalty minutes8.412.7

Blocked shots11.98.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

SaiPa 41

HPK

SaiPa won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.4 SAI 2.6 · HAM 1.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Feb 28, 2026: SaiPa 0, Hameenlinna 3.
Feb 27, 2026: Hameenlinna 1, SaiPa 5.
Oct 10, 2025: Hameenlinna 1, SaiPa 2.
Oct 1, 2025: SaiPa 3, Hameenlinna 2, after overtime.
Mar 14, 2025: Hameenlinna 2, SaiPa 3.

Last five games

SaiPa 2-3-0

Loss, 3–6 against Plzen, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
Loss, 1–2 against JYP, Oct 8.
Win, 3–1 at Graz99ers, Oct 6.
Win, 3–2 against Jokerit, Oct 3.
Loss, 3–4 at KalPa, Oct 2.

HPK 4-1-0

Win, 5–3 against KooKoo, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Assat, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 3.
Win, 2–1 against JYP, Oct 2.
Loss, 0–3 at Jokerit, Sep 29.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

03:08 Goal SaiPa: Kramer B. assists: Zezelj A. 1-0

2nd period1-0

03:36 2 min Hameenlinna: Kainulainen H. Tripping
03:43 Goal PPG SaiPa: Palmu P. assists: Perttu M., Kramer B. 2-0
13:11 2 min SaiPa: Trejbal O. Holding
13:11 2 min Hameenlinna: Vesterinen R. Interference
14:20 2 min Hameenlinna: Korhonen O. Holding

3rd period0-1

07:22 Penalty shot missed SaiPa: Palmu P.
08:07 2 min SaiPa: Salminen S. Interference
11:50 2 min Hameenlinna: Pyke G. Holding
19:15 2 min SaiPa: Trejbal O. Delay of game
19:21 Goal PPG Hameenlinna: Jokirinne V. assists: Kopiloff O., Paivarinta S. 2-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for SaiPa, who played yesterday.
4-game winning streak for Hameenlinna coming into this game.
In goal: Grigals G. for SaiPa (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Saarinen K. for Hameenlinna (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — SaiPa +0.3, Hameenlinna −0.9 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for SaiPa.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SAI)	1.75	1.75	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.70	3.70	No change
1X2: 2 (HAM)	3.30	3.30	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap SAI	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

SaiPa vs Hameenlinna prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details