SaiPa vs IFK Helsinki Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.33

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2WonSaiPaodds up 1.74Confidence 58%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.33Confidence 72%
HandicapLostHIFK +1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSaiPaodds up 1.45Confidence 70%
Double chanceWonSaiPa or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 78%
Draw no betWonSaiPaodds up 1.37Confidence 73%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonSaiPaodds up 2.30Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.20Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

SaiPa 32

HIFK

Final 7–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

SAI to winTo win 67% SAI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min7–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–120%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-3-14-5-3

Home / road split5-1-11-3-1

StreakW1L1

Rest1 day2 days

Goals for2.72.8

Goals against1.83.2

In the standings6th11th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3−0.1

Goals for2.62.8

Goals against2.32.9

Shots on goal24.220.9

Shots against23.625.2

Shooting %10.7%13.4%

Save %90.7%89.3%

Power-play %23.1%24.1%

Penalty kill %87.8%78.9%

Faceoff %49.4%51.1%

Penalty minutes8.210.5

Blocked shots11.28.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

SaiPa 50

HIFK

SaiPa won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.2 SAI 4.6 · HEL 1.6

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Mar 4, 2026: IFK Helsinki 2, SaiPa 5.
Feb 14, 2026: SaiPa 5, IFK Helsinki 3.
Oct 25, 2025: SaiPa 3, IFK Helsinki 0.
Sep 20, 2025: IFK Helsinki 1, SaiPa 4.
Apr 2, 2025: SaiPa 6, IFK Helsinki 2.

Last five games

SaiPa 3-2-0

Win, 2–1 against Hameenlinna, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
Loss, 3–6 against Plzen, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
Loss, 1–2 against JYP, Oct 8.
Win, 3–1 at Graz99ers, Oct 6.
Win, 3–2 against Jokerit, Oct 3.

HIFK 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 3–4 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
Win, 6–1 against KalPa, Oct 10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Jokerit, after overtime, Oct 8.
Win, 3–2 at Vaasan Sport, after overtime, Oct 3.
Loss, 1–2 at Pelicans, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

03:33 Goal IFK Helsinki: Nassen L. assists: Kiviharju A., Makiaho D. 0-1
04:36 Goal SaiPa: Fridrich P. assists: Airola S., Intonen A. 1-1
10:49 2 min IFK Helsinki: Melart I. Hooking
14:16 Goal SaiPa: Emanuelsson E. assists: Intonen A., Kramer B. 2-1

2nd period3-0

01:36 Goal SaiPa: Intonen A. assists: Fridrich P., Aho K. 3-1
06:11 Goal SaiPa: Aho K. assists: Zabaneh N., Klintrup E. 4-1
07:21 2 min SaiPa: Svensk V. Tripping
12:26 2 min SaiPa: Siikanen P. Hooking
16:47 2 min IFK Helsinki: Nemecek D. Cross checking
18:48 Goal SaiPa: Siikanen P. assists: Perttu M., Naukkarinen J. 5-1

3rd period2-0

05:04 2 min IFK Helsinki: Ahlroth J. Hooking
05:04 2 min IFK Helsinki: Ahlroth J. Holding
06:31 Goal PPG SaiPa: Fridrich P. assists: Airola S., Emanuelsson E. 6-1
09:12 2 min SaiPa: Intonen A. Roughing
13:31 5 min IFK Helsinki: Nemecek D. Cross checking
14:30 Goal PPG SaiPa: Emanuelsson E. assists: Zezelj A., Airola S. 7-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

1-3-1 away for IFK Helsinki this season.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for SaiPa.
In goal: Piiroinen K. for SaiPa (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Glifford O. for IFK Helsinki (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
6th vs 11th in the Liiga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SAI)	1.83	1.83	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.96	3.96	No change
1X2: 2 (HEL)	3.68	3.68	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap SAI	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

SaiPa vs IFK Helsinki prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details