SaiPa vs JYP prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostSaiPaodds up 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonJYP +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSaiPaodds up 1.65Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostSaiPa or drawodds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostSaiPaodds up 1.57Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSaiPaodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.23Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 8, 2026: SaiPa 1, JYP 2.
- Jan 21, 2026: SaiPa 2, JYP 3, after overtime.
- Dec 20, 2025: JYP 1, SaiPa 2.
- Nov 28, 2025: JYP 3, SaiPa 7.
- Oct 17, 2025: SaiPa 1, JYP 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–5 at Pelicans, Oct 28. Odds: Pelicans 2.05, SaiPa 2.85.
- Win, 3–1 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 24. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.85, SaiPa 2.01.
- Win, 5–3 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 23. Odds: Vaasan Sport 3.30, SaiPa 1.86.
- Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
- Win, 7–1 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
- Loss, 4–6 against Tappara, Oct 28. Odds: JYP 1.96, Tappara 3.00.
- Win, 4–1 against Assat, Oct 24. Odds: JYP 2.01, Assat 2.85.
- Win, 3–2 against Hameenlinna, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 10:09 2 min JYP: Ojantakanen V. Hooking
- 19:33 2 min SaiPa: Kramer B. Holding
- 19:56 Goal PPG JYP: Ojantakanen V. assists: True A., Pesonen H. 0-1
2nd period0-3
- 08:53 Goal JYP: Korjus J. assists: Liikonen V., Ojantakanen V. 0-2
- 09:22 2 min JYP: Peltola E. Roughing
- 09:22 2 min JYP: Bourque T. Roughing
- 09:22 2 min JYP: Korjus J. Interference
- 09:22 2 min SaiPa: Hokkanen O. Roughing
- 09:22 2 min SaiPa: Klintrup E. Roughing
- 13:38 Goal JYP: Ojantakanen V. 0-3
- 18:02 Goal JYP: Tukiainen L. assists: Lassila J., Vatanen S. 0-4
3rd period3-2
- 00:01 Goalie change SaiPa: Grigals G. replaces Piiroinen K.
- 01:46 2 min JYP: Peltola E. Holding
- 02:13 2 min JYP: Tukiainen L. High sticking
- 03:21 Goal PPG SaiPa: Intonen A. assists: Fridrich P., Airola S. 1-4
- 05:33 2 min JYP: Vatanen S. High sticking
- 08:47 Goal SaiPa: Fridrich P. assists: Klintrup E., Peski A. 2-4
- 09:25 2 min JYP: Ojantakanen V. Slashing
- 10:08 Goal PPG SaiPa: Intonen A. assists: Fridrich P., Airola S. 3-4
- 17:42 2 min SaiPa: Perttu M. Slashing
- 18:17 Goal PPG JYP: Ojantakanen V. assists: True A., Pesonen H. 3-5
- 18:38 Goal ENG JYP: Tukiainen L. assists: Bourque T., Vidgren A. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Piiroinen K. for SaiPa (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Salminen O. for JYP (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-1-1 at home for SaiPa this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — SaiPa +0.5, JYP −0.6 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for JYP.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for SaiPa.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAI) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (JYP) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SAI | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SaiPa host JYP in the Liiga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.