SaiPa vs Karpat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

SaiPa or draw 1.33

Confidence78%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2LostSaiPaodds up 2.00Confidence 58%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKarpat +1.5odds down 1.45Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSaiPaodds up 1.60Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSaiPa or drawodds up 1.33Confidence 78%
Draw no betPushSaiPaodds up 1.53Confidence 73%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostSaiPaodds up 2.49Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.21Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

SaiPa 32

Karpat

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Went to a shootout

SAI to winTo win 67% SAI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–019%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-3-19-3-3

Home / road split6-1-14-2-2

StreakW2W2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.02.9

Goals against1.72.7

In the standings6th7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.9+0.5

Goals for3.23.1

Goals against2.32.6

Shots on goal25.324.7

Shots against24.525.2

Shooting %12.6%12.6%

Save %91.0%90.1%

Power-play %23.8%31.0%

Penalty kill %88.1%75.9%

Faceoff %50.0%51.6%

Penalty minutes8.45.8

Blocked shots11.87.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

SaiPa 41

Karpat

SaiPa won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.6 SAI 3.6 · KAR 3.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 30, 2026: Karpat 4, SaiPa 1.
Jan 24, 2026: SaiPa 7, Karpat 4.
Jan 14, 2026: Karpat 1, SaiPa 2.
Dec 13, 2025: Karpat 3, SaiPa 4, after overtime.
Oct 11, 2025: SaiPa 4, Karpat 3.

Last five games

SaiPa 3-2-0

Win, 7–1 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
Win, 2–1 against Hameenlinna, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
Loss, 3–6 against Plzen, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
Loss, 1–2 against JYP, Oct 8.
Win, 3–1 at Graz99ers, Oct 6.

Karpat 4-0-1

Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Karpat 1.82, KooKoo 3.57.
Win, 5–4 at JYP, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Pelicans, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
Win, 8–7 against Kiekko-Espoo, after overtime, Oct 7.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

09:48 2 min SaiPa: — Too many men on the ice
11:08 2 min SaiPa: Tauslahti M. Hooking
19:04 2 min Karpat: Soini K. Holding

2nd period0-1

18:09 Goal Karpat: Pakkila E. assists: Okany A., Ruotsalainen V. 0-1

3rd period1-0

02:00 2 min Karpat: Ruotsalainen V. High sticking
07:31 Goal SaiPa: Salminen S. assists: Emanuelsson E., Svensk V. 1-1

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout2-1

Round 1 Klintrup E. scored Hirvonen R. missed
Round 2 Fridrich P. missed Okany A. scored
Round 3 Emanuelsson E. scored Kantner M. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Grigals G. for SaiPa (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Rubin N. for Karpat (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
6-1-1 at home for SaiPa this season.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for SaiPa.
−2.0 goals away — Karpat averaged 4.0 at home and 2.0 away this season.
4-0-1 in the last five for Karpat.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SAI)	1.95	1.95	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.70	3.70	No change
1X2: 2 (KAR)	2.82	2.82	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap SAI	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

SaiPa vs Karpat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details