SaiPa vs Plzen prediction
Chance to win · 45% and 34% in regulation
Piiroinen K.StartedSV 91.9% · GAA 2.20 · 7-3-0
Ruzicka J.StartedSV 87.3% · GAA 2.90 · 5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostSaiPaodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.25Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonPlzen +1.5odds up 1.32Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSaiPaodds down 1.67Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostSaiPa or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSaiPaodds down 1.65Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.17Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the teams play in different competitions; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.SaiPa 3–2
Plzen Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSaiPa
Plzen
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
SaiPa
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–2 against JYP, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–1 at Graz99ers, Oct 6.
- Win, 3–2 against Jokerit, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–4 at KalPa, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–4 at Karpat, Sep 30.
Plzen
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.20, Plzen 2.75.
- Win, 4–1 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–2 against Skellefteå, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–4 at Karlovy Vary, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–4 at Pardubice, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 12:32 2 min Plzen: Robertson C. Interference
- 13:37 Goal SHG Plzen: Sedlacek I. assists: Zemlicka R. 0-1
2nd period2-2
- 02:44 Goal SaiPa: Hokkanen O. assists: Klintrup E., Zezelj A. 1-1
- 04:16 2 min SaiPa: Kramer B. Tripping
- 04:39 Goal PPG Plzen: Sedlacek I. assists: Titlbach A., MacPherson D. 1-2
- 11:37 2 min Plzen: Cech A. Holding
- 14:58 2 min Plzen: Cech A. Tripping
- 16:18 Goal PPG SaiPa: Naukkarinen J. assists: Hokkanen O., Moilanen V. 2-2
- 18:19 Goal Plzen: Lev J. assists: Fodor J., Katic D. 2-3
3rd period1-3
- 00:52 Goal Plzen: Zemlicka R. assists: Merezhko I., Petman M. 2-4
- 01:16 2 min Plzen: Zemlicka R. Hooking
- 05:31 Goal Plzen: Fodor J. assists: Lev J., Katic D. 2-5
- 17:36 Goal SaiPa: Fridrich P. assists: Emanuelsson E., Intonen A. 3-5
- 19:56 Goal ENG Plzen: Petman M. assists: Petman V., Teply M. 3-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Plzen coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on SaiPa dropped from 1.67 to 1.33 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for SaiPa, 2 for Plzen.
- In goal: Piiroinen K. for SaiPa (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Ruzicka J. for Plzen (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Save % gap: SaiPa 92.8%, Plzen 90.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAI) | 1.57 | 1.57 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.83 | 4.83 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PLZ) | 4.29 | 4.26 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap SAI | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Champions Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plzen |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.500 | 24 | 9 | +15 |
| 2 |  Skelleftea |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.250 | 24 | 12 | +12 |
| 3 |  Pardubice |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.167 | 22 | 9 | +13 |
| 4 |  Kolner |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.400 | 21 | 9 | +12 |
| 5 |  Frolunda |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1.000 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 6 |  Adler Mannheim |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | .917 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 7 |  Tappara |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | .917 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 8 |  Vaxjo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 16 | 11 | +5 |
| 9 | SaiPa |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1.000 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 |  KooKoo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 |  Fribourg |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 18 | 12 | +6 |
| 12 |  Rogle |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .750 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 |  Servette |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 |  Eisbaren Berlin |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 15 |  Davos |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .800 | 19 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 |  Nitra |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .667 | 15 | 19 | −4 |
| 17 |  Liberec |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .700 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 |  Storhamar |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .600 | 11 | 13 | −2 |
| 19 |  Bordeaux |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | .333 | 16 | 35 | −19 |
| 20 |  Salzburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 13 | 24 | −11 |
| 21 |  Klagenfurt |
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 8 | 14 | −6 |
| 22 |  Herning Blue Fox |
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .100 | 6 | 19 | −13 |
| 23 |  Tychy |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .083 | 10 | 24 | −14 |
| 24 |  Graz99ers |
5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 8 | 21 | −13 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SaiPa host Plzen in the Champions Hockey League on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.