Salavat Ufa vs Bars Kazan prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2WonAk Bars Kazanodds up 2.62Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.60Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAk Bars Kazan +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAk Bars Kazanodds up 1.99Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonAk Bars Kazan or drawodds up 1.57Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonAk Bars Kazanodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–023%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%), 1-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Salavat Ufa 3, Bars Kazan 4, after overtime.
- Jan 28, 2026: Bars Kazan 3, Salavat Ufa 4, after overtime.
- Dec 20, 2025: Salavat Ufa 1, Bars Kazan 2.
- Dec 16, 2025: Bars Kazan 6, Salavat Ufa 3.
- Dec 5, 2025: Salavat Ufa 4, Bars Kazan 1.
Last five games
- Win, 5–4 at Magnitogorsk, after a shootout, Oct 21. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.73, Salavat Ufa 3.94.
- Loss, 0–2 at Vladivostok, Oct 19. Odds: Vladivostok 3.32, Salavat Ufa 1.99.
- Win, 4–3 at Khabarovsk, Oct 17. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.87, Salavat Ufa 2.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Novosibirsk, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Niznekamsk, Oct 12. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.83, Niznekamsk 3.40.
- Loss, 1–3 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 23. Odds: Tractor 2.44, Ak Bars Kazan 2.55.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Nizhny Novgorod, after a shootout, Oct 21. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.25, Nizhny Novgorod 2.74.
- Win, 4–1 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 18. Odds: Dinamo Minsk 2.39, Ak Bars Kazan 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 at Shanghai, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Shanghai 2.42, Ak Bars Kazan 2.42.
- Loss, 2–3 against Sochi, Oct 12. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 1.45, Sochi 5.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 02:57 2 min Salavat Ufa: Tsulygin Y. Tripping
- 18:12 2 min Bars Kazan: Denisenko G. Boarding
2nd period1-1
- 13:26 2 min Bars Kazan: Yevseyev N. Tripping
- 16:06 Goal Salavat Ufa: Zharovskiy A. assists: Maggio M., Alalykin D. 1-0
- 16:16 Goal Bars Kazan: Chmelevski A. assists: Miller M., Yevseyev N. 1-1
- 18:52 2 min Bars Kazan: Zernov D. Tripping
3rd period0-1
- 02:49 Goal Bars Kazan: Komkov D. assists: Dynyak N. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Salavat Ufa, 1 for Bars Kazan.
- In goal: Vyazovoy S. for Salavat Ufa (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Arefyev M. for Bars Kazan (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Salavat Ufa −1.4, Bars Kazan −0.3 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Bars Kazan.
- Save % gap: Salavat Ufa 88.8%, Bars Kazan 92.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAL) | 2.06 | 2.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.88 | 3.80 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 3.06 | 2.93 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Salavat Ufa host Bars Kazan in the KHL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.