Salzburg vs HK Olimpija prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 51% in regulation
Tolvanen A.StartedSV 84.6% · GAA 3.70 · 3-6-1
Us Z.StartedSV 94.9% · GAA 1.33 · 4-5-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostOlimpijaodds up 2.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonOlimpija +1.5odds up 1.39Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostOlimpijaodds up 1.95Confidence 63%
- Double chanceLostOlimpija or drawodds up 1.55Confidence 72%
- Draw no betLostOlimpijaodds up 1.98Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostOlimpijaodds up 3.05Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Salzburg 1–4
Olimpija Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSalzburg
HK Olimpija
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Salzburg 2–3
Olimpija - Jan 30, 2026: HK Olimpija 5, Salzburg 1.
- Jan 9, 2026: Salzburg 5, HK Olimpija 1.
- Oct 31, 2025: Salzburg 1, HK Olimpija 2.
- Oct 17, 2025: HK Olimpija 4, Salzburg 3, after overtime.
- Feb 19, 2025: Salzburg 3, HK Olimpija 2, after overtime.
Last five games
Salzburg
1-4-0 - Loss, 0–6 against Black Wings Linz, Oct 16. Odds: Salzburg 1.80, Linz 3.35.
- Loss, 2–4 at Skellefteå, Oct 13. Odds: Skelleftea 1.29, Salzburg 7.43.
- Loss, 3–5 at Klagenfurt, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–1 at Fehervar AV19, Oct 9. Odds: Fehervar 2.90, Salzburg 1.95.
- Loss, 3–4 against Eisbaren Berlin, Oct 7.
Olimpija
5-0-0 - Win, 5–2 at TWK Innsbruck, Oct 18. Odds: Innsbruck 4.20, Olimpija 1.45.
- Win, 5–4 against Bolzano, Oct 16. Odds: Olimpija 2.30, Bolzano 2.44.
- Win, 5–1 against Ferencvaros, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 at Graz99ers, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Graz 1.98, Olimpija 2.80.
- Win, 8–0 against Vorarlberg, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 06:05 Goal Salzburg: Schneider P. assists: Raffl M. 1-0
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for HK Olimpija coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Salzburg coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Salzburg dropped from 1.78 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Salzburg, 2 for HK Olimpija.
- 1-4-1 at home for Salzburg this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SAL) | 1.85 | 1.85 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.05 | 4.05 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (OLI) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap SAL | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ICE Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolzano |
17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 1.147 | 70 | 41 | +29 |
| 2 |  Black Wings Linz |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 66 | 47 | +19 |
| 3 | HK Olimpija |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1.029 | 73 | 43 | +30 |
| 4 |  Val Pusteria |
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 1.067 | 45 | 33 | +12 |
| 5 |  Klagenfurt |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 30 | .882 | 65 | 51 | +14 |
| 6 |  Graz99ers |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 50 | 47 | +3 |
| 7 | Salzburg |
17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 28 | .824 | 55 | 52 | +3 |
| 8 |  Milano |
18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 61 | −6 |
| 9 |  Ferencvaros |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 55 | −6 |
| 10 |  Vienna Capitals |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 42 | 46 | −4 |
| 11 |  Fehervar AV19 |
18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 38 | 61 | −23 |
| 12 |  Villach |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | .667 | 40 | 43 | −3 |
| 13 |  TWK Innsbruck |
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 15 | .417 | 36 | 59 | −23 |
| 14 |  Vorarlberg |
18 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .056 | 40 | 85 | −45 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Salzburg host HK Olimpija in the ICE Hockey League on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.