San Diego Gulls vs Ontario Reign prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonOntarioodds down 2.42Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.38Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonOntario +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonOntarioodds down 1.92Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonOntario or drawodds down 1.50Confidence 62%
- Draw no betWonOntarioodds down 1.88Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostOntario2.87Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
San Diego 1–4
Ontario Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSan Diego Gulls
Ontario Reign
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
San Diego 2–3
Ontario - Apr 17, 2026: Ontario Reign 4, San Diego Gulls 1.
- Jan 31, 2026: San Diego Gulls 4, Ontario Reign 3.
- Nov 8, 2025: Ontario Reign 4, San Diego Gulls 3, after overtime.
- Nov 7, 2025: San Diego Gulls 6, Ontario Reign 4.
- Oct 5, 2025: Ontario Reign 3, San Diego Gulls 2.
Last five games
San Diego
2-2-1 - Win, 2–0 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 9. Odds: Coachella 2.55, San Diego 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at San Jose Barracuda, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–6 at Colorado Eagles, Apr 24.
Ontario
2-2-1 - Loss, 2–6 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–5 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, after overtime, May 9.
- Loss, 2–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, May 7.
- Win, 2–1 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, May 5.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:33 Goal San Diego Gulls: Basgall M. assists: Pettersson L., Wahlberg A. 1-0
2nd period0-3
- 03:12 Goal PPG Ontario Reign: Ward T. assists: Pederson L., Perunovich S. 1-1
- 06:31 Goal Ontario Reign: Hughes J. assists: Hicketts J., Millar J. 1-2
- 14:44 Goal Ontario Reign: Ziemmer K. assists: Slukynsky G. 1-3
3rd period1-0
- 19:37 Goal PPG San Diego Gulls: Sidorov Y. assists: Pettersson L., Phillips M. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ontario Reign.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 8th vs 7th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SDG) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ONT) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SDG | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 | Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 | San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
San Diego Gulls host Ontario Reign in the AHL on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.