San Jose Sharks vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance

Penguins or draw 1.40

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2Penguinsodds down 2.13Confidence 51%
Over/UnderU7.51.47Confidence 69%
HandicapSharks +1.5odds up 1.43Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)Penguinsodds down 1.71Confidence 57%
Best tip of the game: Double chancePenguins or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 69%
Draw no betPenguinsodds down 1.70Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.05Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2Penguins2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderO1.51.60Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Sharks 23

Penguins

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 6.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 22%

Pittsburgh to winTo win 56% 45% in regulation

Score details

Correct score2–33%chance
1st period correct score0–28%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (2%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-11-16-10-2

Home / road split4-5-02-7-1

StreakW1L1

Rest1 day2 days

Goals for2.63.2

Goals against3.63.6

In the standings6th8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.3−0.7

Goals for2.33.1

Goals against3.63.8

Shots on goal26.826.0

Shots against31.325.6

Shooting %8.6%11.9%

Save %89.5%85.9%

Power-play %14.0%22.6%

Penalty kill %79.2%71.4%

Faceoff %46.8%45.7%

Penalty minutes11.86.4

Blocked shots13.916.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Sharks 22

Penguins

The teams split the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 SJS 2.8 · PIT 3.3

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Dec 13, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 5, San Jose Sharks 6, after overtime.
Oct 18, 2025: San Jose Sharks 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.
Jan 27, 2025: San Jose Sharks 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1.
Nov 16, 2024: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, San Jose Sharks 3, after a shootout.

Last five games

Sharks 1-4-0

Win, 3–2 against New York Islanders, after a shootout, Nov 9. Odds: Sharks 2.80, Islanders 2.05.
Loss, 3–4 at Dallas Stars, Nov 7. Odds: Stars 1.46, Sharks 5.25.
Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota Wild, Nov 6. Odds: Wild 1.53, Sharks 4.50.
Loss, 2–7 at Los Angeles Kings, Nov 4. Odds: Kings 1.86, Sharks 3.35.
Loss, 1–2 against Calgary Flames, Nov 2. Odds: Sharks 2.10, Flames 2.75.

Penguins 1-4-0

Loss, 2–5 at Anaheim Ducks, Nov 8. Odds: Ducks 2.20, Penguins 2.50.
Win, 5–2 at Los Angeles Kings, Nov 7. Odds: Kings 2.15, Penguins 2.65.
Loss, 2–6 against Boston Bruins, Nov 5. Odds: Penguins 2.25, Bruins 2.55.
Loss, 2–3 against Vegas Golden Knights, Nov 3. Odds: Penguins 2.20, Golden Knights 2.55.
Loss, 4–5 at Montreal Canadiens, Oct 31. Odds: Canadiens 2.20, Penguins 2.60.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

2-7-1 away for Pittsburgh Penguins this season.
1-4-0 in the last five for San Jose Sharks.
1-4-0 in the last five for Pittsburgh Penguins.
Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
Save % gap: San Jose Sharks 89.5%, Pittsburgh Penguins 85.9% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SJS)	2.65	2.80	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.25	Drifted
1X2: 2 (PIT)	2.25	2.05	Shortened
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap SJS	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NHL standings

Regular Season · Pacific Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Edmonton Oilers	19	13	3	3	29	.763	78	56	+22
2	Vegas Golden Knights	19	12	5	2	26	.684	64	51	+13
3	Anaheim Ducks	18	10	7	1	21	.583	69	66	+3
4	Seattle Kraken	16	9	6	1	19	.594	57	57	0
5	Calgary Flames	18	8	9	1	17	.472	46	63	−17
6	San Jose Sharks	20	8	11	1	17	.425	51	71	−20
7	Los Angeles Kings	16	5	9	2	12	.375	45	55	−10
8	Vancouver Canucks	20	3	16	1	7	.175	56	90	−34

Regular Season · Metropolitan Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Carolina Hurricanes	19	14	3	2	30	.789	78	45	+33
2	New Jersey Devils	19	13	6	0	26	.684	68	55	+13
3	New York Rangers	19	10	8	1	21	.553	56	55	+1
4	Washington Capitals	16	10	6	0	20	.625	56	53	+3
5	New York Islanders	17	7	6	4	18	.529	49	52	−3
6	Philadelphia Flyers	20	5	10	5	15	.375	45	66	−21
7	Columbus Blue Jackets	16	7	9	0	14	.438	41	51	−10
8	Pittsburgh Penguins	18	6	10	2	14	.389	58	65	−7

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

San Jose Sharks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction