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Schwenninger vs ERC Ingolstadt prediction

DEL Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16 Round 9
HomeSchwenninger6-9-113th in the standingsLWLLL
Schwenninger 3, ERC Ingolstadt 4 AOT Puck drop 13:30 ET 1X2 2.501X2 2.28
Team 1st 2nd 3rd OT
SCH 0 1 2 0
ING 3 0 0 1
Helios Arena (Villingen-Schwenningen) · GermanyHelios Arena (Villingen-Schwenningen)
AwayERC Ingolstadt7-7-17th in the standingsOTWLLW
45%Schwenninger win · 35% in regulationSCH Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21% 55%ERC Ingolstadt win · 44% in regulationING

Chance to win · 35% and 44% in regulation

Eriksson J.StartedSV 88.4% · GAA 3.30 · 2-7-1
In goal
Stettmer J.StartedSV 92% · GAA 2.60 · 6-3-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won
Schwenningen +1.5 odds down 1.38
Confidence66%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

  • 1X2LostIngolstadtodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
  • Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 68%
  • Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSchwenningen +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 66%
  • Winner (incl. OT)WonIngolstadtodds up 1.69Confidence 57%
  • Double chanceWonIngolstadt or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 67%
  • Draw no betPushIngolstadtodds up 1.63Confidence 58%
  • Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 88%

1st period

  • 1st period 1X2WonIngolstadtodds up 2.50Confidence 51%
  • 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.77Confidence 55%
How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Schwenningen 23 Ingolstadt
Final 3–4
Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Went to overtime
ING to winTo win 55% ING won

Score details

  • Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–33%chance
  • 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–37%chance
  • Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
  • After 60 minutes 2-3
  • By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
  • Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Schwenninger host ERC Ingolstadt in the DEL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.