Schwenninger vs ERC Ingolstadt prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostIngolstadtodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSchwenningen +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIngolstadtodds up 1.69Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonIngolstadt or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 67%
- Draw no betPushIngolstadtodds up 1.63Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonIngolstadtodds up 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.77Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–37%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 25, 2026: ERC Ingolstadt 4, Schwenninger 1.
- Dec 30, 2025: Schwenninger 5, ERC Ingolstadt 3.
- Dec 7, 2025: ERC Ingolstadt 5, Schwenninger 2.
- Oct 19, 2025: Schwenninger 2, ERC Ingolstadt 4.
- Mar 7, 2025: ERC Ingolstadt 0, Schwenninger 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–4 against Munchen, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–1 at Kolner, Oct 9. Odds: Koln 1.45, Schwenningen 4.80.
- Loss, 2–4 against Straubing Tigers, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–5 at Nurnberg Ice Tigers, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–5 at Krefeld Pinguine, Sep 27.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Frankfurt Lowen, after a shootout, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–1 at Munchen, Oct 9. Odds: Munchen 1.77, Ingolstadt 3.45.
- Loss, 3–6 against Kolner, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–3 at Krefeld Pinguine, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 against Adler Mannheim, after overtime, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 05:36 Goal ERC Ingolstadt: Breton A. assists: Powell M. 0-1
- 06:46 2 min Schwenninger: Bassen B. Delay of game
- 07:09 Goal PPG ERC Ingolstadt: Sheen R. assists: Barber R., Breton A. 0-2
- 11:13 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Tropmann E. Tripping
- 13:46 2 min Schwenninger: Bassen B. Tripping
- 14:30 Goal PPG ERC Ingolstadt: Sheen R. assists: Barber R., Agostino K. 0-3
- 15:57 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Huttl L. Tripping
2nd period1-0
- 06:45 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Breton A. Slashing
- 11:05 2 min Schwenninger: Weber W. High sticking
- 19:56 Goal Schwenninger: Hofflin M. assists: Feist P., Weber W. 1-3
3rd period2-0
- 03:05 Goal Schwenninger: Feist P. assists: Hanelt H., Wilde B. 2-3
- 09:34 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Keating A. High sticking
- 11:12 Goal PPG Schwenninger: Hofflin M. assists: Wilde B., Karachun A. 3-3
- 12:03 2 min Schwenninger: Peters A. Tripping
- 15:12 2 min Schwenninger: Hofflin M. Tripping
- 16:44 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Huttl L. Slashing
- 17:52 2 min Schwenninger: Wilde B. Tripping
- 17:52 2 min ERC Ingolstadt: Powell M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
Overtime0-1
- 00:59 Goal ERC Ingolstadt: Abbandonato P. assists: Breton A., Barber R. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Schwenninger dropped from 2.12 to 1.83 since they were first published.
- In goal: Eriksson J. for Schwenninger (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Stettmer J. for ERC Ingolstadt (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for ERC Ingolstadt.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Schwenninger.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SCH) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.51 | 4.51 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ING) | 2.28 | 2.28 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap SCH | +0.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1.143 | 50 | 24 | +26 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 1.000 | 53 | 38 | +15 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 28 | .933 | 56 | 34 | +22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 26 | .929 | 52 | 41 | +11 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | .833 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 20 | .667 | 45 | 53 | −8 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 32 | 37 | −5 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 32 | 33 | −1 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 12 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .567 | 36 | 51 | −15 | |
| 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 16 | .500 | 37 | 60 | −23 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 32 | 52 | −20 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation - DEL2
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Schwenninger host ERC Ingolstadt in the DEL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.