SDE HF vs Skellefteå prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostSDE HFodds down 1.71Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.34Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonSkelleftea +2.51.29Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSDE HFodds down 1.43Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostSDE HF or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 74%
- Draw no betLostSDE HF1.33Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.21Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.36Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.51Confidence 63%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 5% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–028%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 11, 2026: Skellefteå 1, SDE HF 5.
- Nov 16, 2025: SDE HF 5, Skellefteå 4, after overtime.
- Oct 3, 2025: SDE HF 2, Skellefteå 3.
- Sep 26, 2025: Skellefteå 0, SDE HF 3.
- Jan 24, 2025: Skellefteå 4, SDE HF 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–3 at Brynas, Oct 9. Odds: Brynas 1.55, SDE HF 4.50.
- Win, 2–0 at Frölunda, Sep 25.
- Win, 2–1 against Linkoping, after overtime, Sep 20.
- Win, 3–2 at HV 71, after overtime, Sep 17.
- Loss, 1–4 at Djurgarden, Sep 10.
- Loss, 0–3 at Djurgarden, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Linkoping, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Linkoping 1.91, Skellefteå 3.15.
- Loss, 0–4 against Brynas, Sep 27.
- Win, 4–2 against MODO, Sep 25.
- Loss, 3–4 against Luleå, Sep 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 11:25 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Brooks B. assists: Bergmann N., Odnoga L. 0-1
- 13:31 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Lindgren T. assists: Bergmann N., Odnoga L. 0-2
- 19:58 Goal PPG SDE HF: Fischer M. assists: Skoldeback E. 1-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Skellefteå, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Skellefteå coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for SDE HF.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 5th vs 10th in the SDHL Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HFX) | 1.65 | 1.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.05 | 4.05 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SKE) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap HFX | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SDHL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.500 | 30 | 5 | +25 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 18 | 22 | −4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 23 | 17 | +6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .813 | 21 | 17 | +4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 11 | 12 | −1 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 21 | −3 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .643 | 16 | 19 | −3 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 17 | 21 | −4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .500 | 9 | 16 | −7 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .389 | 15 | 28 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SDE HF host Skellefteå in the SDHL Women on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.