Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings prediction
Seattle Kraken 4–, Detroit Red Wings 3
AP
Puck drop 21:40 ET
1X2 2.601X2 2.20
Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA) · USAClimate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
SEA
1
2
0
0
2
DET
0
0
3
0
1
56%Seattle win · 44% in regulationSEA
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
44%Detroit win · 33% in regulationDET
Chance to win · 44% and 33% in regulation
Grubauer P.StartedSV 91% · GAA 2.80 · 4-4-2
Tarasov D.StartedSV 90.7% · GAA 2.40 · 6-2-2
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Kraken or draw
odds up 1.42
Confidence69%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostKrakenodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.31Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonRed Wings +1.5odds down 1.39Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKrakenodds up 1.75Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKraken or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 69%
- Draw no betPushKrakenodds up 1.75Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKrakenodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.71Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kraken 3–2
Red Wings
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to a shootout
Seattle to winTo win
56%
SEA won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Seattle Kraken
Detroit Red Wings
Seattle Kraken
Detroit Red Wings
Season recordSeattle Kraken 5-3-1Detroit Red Wings 3-3-2
Home / road splitSeattle Kraken 1-1-0Detroit Red Wings 0-0-1
StreakSeattle Kraken L2Detroit Red Wings W2
RestSeattle Kraken 2 daysDetroit Red Wings 2 days
Goals forSeattle Kraken 3.9Detroit Red Wings 2.5
Goals againstSeattle Kraken 3.4Detroit Red Wings 3.0
In the standingsSeattle Kraken 4thDetroit Red Wings 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameSeattle Kraken +0.1Detroit Red Wings −1.2
Goals forSeattle Kraken 3.4Detroit Red Wings 2.3
Goals againstSeattle Kraken 3.3Detroit Red Wings 3.5
Shots on goalSeattle Kraken 25.7Detroit Red Wings 29.9
Shots againstSeattle Kraken 32.1Detroit Red Wings 26.4
Shooting %Seattle Kraken 13.2%Detroit Red Wings 7.7%
Save %Seattle Kraken 90.0%Detroit Red Wings 87.1%
Power-play %Seattle Kraken 14.6%Detroit Red Wings 11.6%
Penalty kill %Seattle Kraken 85.4%Detroit Red Wings 75.0%
Faceoff %Seattle Kraken 50.6%Detroit Red Wings 51.0%
Penalty minutesSeattle Kraken 11.8Detroit Red Wings 8.9
HitsSeattle Kraken 17.7Detroit Red Wings 22.8
Blocked shotsSeattle Kraken 10.1Detroit Red Wings 14.9
Per game · SEA at home, DET away
Goal differential per gameSeattle Kraken −0.8Detroit Red Wings −1.5
Goals forSeattle Kraken 3.1Detroit Red Wings 2.1
Goals againstSeattle Kraken 3.9Detroit Red Wings 3.6
Shots on goalSeattle Kraken 26.7Detroit Red Wings 25.7
Shots againstSeattle Kraken 28.9Detroit Red Wings 27.4
Shooting %Seattle Kraken 11.6%Detroit Red Wings 8.2%
Save %Seattle Kraken 87.5%Detroit Red Wings 87.6%
Power-play %Seattle Kraken 10.3%Detroit Red Wings 11.8%
Penalty kill %Seattle Kraken 70.3%Detroit Red Wings 86.2%
Faceoff %Seattle Kraken 48.1%Detroit Red Wings 51.8%
Penalty minutesSeattle Kraken 10.7Detroit Red Wings 6.4
HitsSeattle Kraken 18.6Detroit Red Wings 18.6
Blocked shotsSeattle Kraken 13.7Detroit Red Wings 12.4
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kraken 1–4
Red Wings
Goals a gameGoals
7.8
SEA 3.4 · DET 4.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
4 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in a shootout
- Oct 9, 2026: Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 6.
- Dec 6, 2025: Seattle Kraken 3, Detroit Red Wings 4.
- Nov 18, 2025: Detroit Red Wings 4, Seattle Kraken 2.
- Feb 4, 2025: Seattle Kraken 4, Detroit Red Wings 5, after a shootout.
- Jan 12, 2025: Detroit Red Wings 6, Seattle Kraken 2.
Last five games
Kraken
3-1-1 - Loss, 3–8 at Florida Panthers, Oct 17. Odds: Panthers 1.87, Kraken 3.25.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tampa Bay Lightning, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Lightning 1.60, Kraken 4.25.
- Win, 3–2 at Philadelphia Flyers, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Flyers 2.41, Kraken 2.49.
- Win, 5–3 at Washington Capitals, Oct 11. Odds: Capitals 1.81, Kraken 3.76.
- Win, 6–3 at Detroit Red Wings, Oct 9. Odds: Red Wings 2.12, Kraken 2.90.
Red Wings
2-1-2 - Win, 4–3 against San Jose Sharks, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Sharks 2.88.
- Win, 2–1 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 15. Odds: Red Wings 2.10, Flyers 2.85.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against New Jersey Devils, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Red Wings 2.48, Devils 2.51.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 at Montreal Canadiens, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Canadiens 1.95, Red Wings 3.05.
- Loss, 3–6 against Seattle Kraken, Oct 9. Odds: Red Wings 2.12, Kraken 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 06:45 Goal Seattle Kraken: Samoskevich M. assists: Stephenson C. 1-0
- 07:03 2 min Seattle Kraken: Wright S. Hooking
- 14:43 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Chiarot B. Slashing
2nd period2-0
- 00:34 2 min Detroit Red Wings: — Too many men on the ice
- 01:37 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Sandin-Pellikka A. Delay of game
- 03:22 Goal PPG Seattle Kraken: Evans R. 2-0
- 16:01 Goal Seattle Kraken: Montour B. assists: Catton B. 3-0
3rd period0-3
- 06:25 Goal Detroit Red Wings: Arvidsson V. assists: Finnie E., Johansson A. 3-1
- 07:01 2 min Seattle Kraken: Evans R. Interference
- 07:24 Goal PPG Detroit Red Wings: Raymond L. assists: DeBrincat A., Larkin D. 3-2
- 11:43 2 min Seattle Kraken: Winterton R. Slashing
- 18:35 2 min Seattle Kraken: Stephenson C. Roughing
- 19:43 Goal PPG Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat A. assists: Larkin D., Raymond L. 3-3
Overtime0-0
- 05:00 2 min Detroit Red Wings: Larkin D. Cross checking
Shootout2-1
-
Round 1
Beniers M.
✗missed
Raymond L.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Catton B.
✗missed
DeBrincat A.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Gaudreau F.
✓scored
Arvidsson V.
✓scored
-
Round 4
McMann B.
✓scored
Larkin D.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Grubauer P. for Seattle Kraken (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Tarasov D. for Detroit Red Wings (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Seattle Kraken +0.1, Detroit Red Wings −1.2 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Detroit Red Wings.
- Save % gap: Seattle Kraken 90.0%, Detroit Red Wings 87.1% over their recent games.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SEA) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DET) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap SEA | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 | Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 |  Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Seattle Kraken host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.