Servette vs Lugano Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Servette +1.5 1.38

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostServetteodds down 2.78Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.41Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostServette +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)LostServetteodds down 2.16Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostServette or drawodds down 1.66Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostServetteodds down 2.19Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostServetteodds down 3.05Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.86Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 9% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 7% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Servette 41

Lugano

Final 2–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

SER to winTo win 62% LUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–54%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–47%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-3-25-6-1

Home / road split6-0-12-4-0

StreakL1L2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.13.3

Goals against2.83.5

In the standings3rd12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4−0.2

Goals for2.93.2

Goals against2.53.4

Shots on goal24.831.8

Shots against29.226.5

Shooting %11.7%10.1%

Save %92.5%87.2%

Power-play %15.2%20.5%

Penalty kill %86.0%72.7%

Faceoff %48.0%51.9%

Penalty minutes13.49.1

Blocked shots12.716.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Servette 14

Lugano

Lugano won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.4 SER 1.8 · LUG 4.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 15, 2026: Lugano 6, Servette 3.
Jan 31, 2026: Lugano 5, Servette 1.
Jan 8, 2026: Servette 2, Lugano 1, after overtime.
Nov 1, 2025: Lugano 6, Servette 2.
Oct 3, 2025: Servette 1, Lugano 5.

Last five games

Servette 3-2-0

Loss, 3–6 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
Win, 4–2 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 16. Odds: Servette 2.04, Langnau 3.01.
Win, 4–3 against Kolner, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Servette 1.88, Koln 3.04.
Win, 3–2 against Davos, Oct 10. Odds: Servette 2.42, Davos 2.42.
Loss, 0–4 at Vaxjo, Oct 6.

Lugano 2-2-1

Loss, 1–6 at Fribourg, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Loss, 2–3 against Davos, Oct 16. Odds: Lugano 2.09, Davos 2.92.
Win, 4–2 at Biel, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Zurich, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Lugano 3.15, Zurich 1.83.
Win, 5–2 at Lausanne, Oct 7.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-4

05:39 Goal Lugano: Sanford Z. assists: Fazzini L. 0-1
09:21 Goal Lugano: Fazzini L. assists: Sanford Z., Lycksell O. 0-2
09:52 2 min Servette: Karrer R. Slashing
10:55 2 min Servette: Boqvist A. Tripping
12:22 Goal PPG Lugano: Innala J. assists: Thomson L. 0-3
16:02 Goal Lugano: Thurkauf C. assists: Guebey E., Innala J. 0-4
16:02 Goalie change Servette: Van Pottelberghe J. replaces Charlin S.
17:33 2 min Lugano: Olsson D. Cross checking

2nd period0-1

05:04 2 min Lugano: Aebischer D. Hooking
15:24 Goal Lugano: Shore N. assists: Aebischer D., Olsson D. 0-5

3rd period2-0

11:02 Goal Servette: Bozon T. assists: Le Coultre S., Boqvist A. 1-5
17:29 2 min Lugano: Fazzini L. Slashing
17:29 2 min Servette: Le Coultre S. Roughing
17:29 2 min Lugano: Fazzini L. Unsportsmanlike conduct
19:51 Goal Servette: Boqvist A. assists: Dandois A., Bozon T. 2-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

6-0-1 at home for Servette this season.
In goal: Charlin S. for Servette (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Mayer R. for Lugano (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lugano.
Save % gap: Servette 92.5%, Lugano 87.2% over their recent games.
6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SER)	2.22	2.22	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.85	3.85	No change
1X2: 2 (LUG)	2.35	2.35	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap SER	+0.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Servette vs Lugano prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details