Shanghai vs Bars Kazan prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostAk Bars Kazanodds down 2.38Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 74%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAk Bars Kazan +1.5odds down 1.28Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAk Bars Kazanodds down 1.86Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonAk Bars Kazan or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 67%
- Draw no betPushAk Bars Kazanodds down 1.86Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 30, 2025: Bars Kazan 4, Shanghai 1.
- Nov 23, 2025: Shanghai 2, Bars Kazan 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 2, 2025: Kunlun 3, Bars Kazan 6.
- Nov 13, 2024: Bars Kazan 5, Kunlun 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–6 against Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 14. Odds: Shanghai 2.02, Tractor 2.95.
- Loss, 2–3 against Dinamo Minsk, Oct 12. Odds: Shanghai 2.44, Dinamo Minsk 2.37.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–0 at Lada, Oct 5.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Cherepovets, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–3 against Sochi, Oct 12. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 1.45, Sochi 5.60.
- Loss, 1–4 against Cherepovets, Oct 10. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.02, Cherepovets 3.05.
- Loss, 0–2 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 5.
- Loss, 2–3 against Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–1 against Barys Astana, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 15:23 2 min Shanghai: Ottenbreit T. Holding
- 16:59 Goal PPG Bars Kazan: Semyonov K. assists: Yarullin A., Byvaltsev A. 0-1
2nd period0-0
- 03:19 2 min Bars Kazan: Semyonov K. Holding
- 09:51 2 min Bars Kazan: Lyamkin N. Delay of game
- 18:38 2 min Shanghai: Khripunov S. Tripping
3rd period2-1
- 00:52 2 min Bars Kazan: Yarullin A. Hooking
- 05:04 2 min Shanghai: Petan N. High sticking
- 10:55 Goal Shanghai: Murray B. assists: Menell B. 1-1
- 11:11 Goal Bars Kazan: Katelevsky D. assists: Marchenko A. 1-2
- 13:28 Goal Shanghai: Chen D. assists: Addison C., Sutter R. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 00:23 Goal Bars Kazan: Semyonov K. assists: Chmelevski A., Miller M. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Bars Kazan coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Bars Kazan, 1 for Shanghai.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Bars Kazan.
- In goal: Khomchenko P. for Shanghai (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Arefyev M. for Bars Kazan (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHA) | 2.46 | 2.42 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.95 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 2.37 | 2.42 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap SHA | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 | |
| 4 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 | |
| 5 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 | |
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
Regular Season · Kharlamov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Shanghai host Bars Kazan in the KHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.