Shawinigan Cataractes vs Moncton Wildcats prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostMonctonodds up 1.55Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonShawinigan +1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMonctonodds up 1.30Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostMoncton or drawodds up 1.17Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostMonctonodds up 1.25Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMonctonodds up 1.96Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.55Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Shawinigan 3–4
Moncton Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min4–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period3–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonShawinigan Cataractes
Moncton Wildcats
Head-to-head
Shawinigan 1–4
Moncton - Oct 16, 2026: Moncton Wildcats 6, Shawinigan Cataractes 4.
- Feb 15, 2026: Moncton Wildcats 6, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Nov 29, 2025: Shawinigan Cataractes 4, Moncton Wildcats 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 13, 2025: Moncton Wildcats 5, Shawinigan Cataractes 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 26, 2024: Shawinigan Cataractes 2, Moncton Wildcats 5.
Last five games
Shawinigan
2-1-2 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rimouski Oceanic, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Shawinigan 2.69, Rimouski 2.01.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Halifax Mooseheads, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Halifax 1.70, Shawinigan 3.65.
- Win, 6–1 at Charlottetown Islanders, Oct 17. Odds: Charlottetown 1.78, Shawinigan 3.25.
- Loss, 4–6 at Moncton Wildcats, Oct 16. Odds: Moncton 1.42, Shawinigan 5.30.
- Win, 7–4 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 12.
Moncton
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Drummondville Voltigeurs, Oct 24. Odds: Drummondville 3.14, Moncton 1.84.
- Win, 3–2 at Sherbrooke Phoenix, Oct 23. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.18, Moncton 2.60.
- Loss, 1–2 against Val-d'Or Foreurs, Oct 17. Odds: Moncton 2.75, Val-d'Or 2.00.
- Win, 6–4 against Shawinigan Cataractes, Oct 16. Odds: Moncton 1.42, Shawinigan 5.30.
- Loss, 1–2 against Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 05:52 Goal PS Shawinigan Cataractes: Bergeron F. 1-0
- 10:08 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Shtyrhunov V. assists: Lemieux P., Boyer S. 2-0
- 15:55 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Faucher E. assists: Fortin A., Laframboise D. 3-0
2nd period1-1
- 11:16 Goal PPG Shawinigan Cataractes: Lygitsakos C. assists: Charron O., Lemieux P. 4-0
- 12:30 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Tournas N. assists: Chudzinski R. 4-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Shawinigan Cataractes and Moncton Wildcats played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Shawinigan Cataractes dropped from 3.00 to 1.99 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Moncton Wildcats.
- 8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHA) | 4.00 | 2.63 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.33 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MON) | 1.69 | 2.20 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 6.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SHA | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 |  Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 | Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
Regular Season · Maritimes Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newfoundland Regiment |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 58 | +5 |
| 2 |  Saint John Sea Dogs |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 24 | .667 | 65 | 59 | +6 |
| 3 |  Halifax Mooseheads |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 66 | −7 |
| 4 |  Cape Breton Eagles |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | .559 | 57 | 55 | +2 |
| 5 | Moncton Wildcats |
18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .528 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 6 |  Charlottetown Islanders |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .421 | 64 | 87 | −23 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Shawinigan Cataractes host Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.