Shawinigan Cataractes vs Rimouski Oceanic prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostRimouskiodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
- HandicapWonShawinigan +1.5odds up 1.38Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRimouskiodds down 1.81Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonRimouski or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushRimouskiodds down 1.81Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.02Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRimouskiodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.48Confidence 69%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min2–22%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (2%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 26, 2026: Rimouski Oceanic 13, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Feb 6, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 6, Rimouski Oceanic 4.
- Jan 25, 2026: Rimouski Oceanic 2, Shawinigan Cataractes 10.
- Nov 30, 2025: Rimouski Oceanic 1, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Nov 13, 2025: Shawinigan Cataractes 5, Rimouski Oceanic 3.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Halifax Mooseheads, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Halifax 1.70, Shawinigan 3.65.
- Win, 6–1 at Charlottetown Islanders, Oct 17. Odds: Charlottetown 1.78, Shawinigan 3.25.
- Loss, 4–6 at Moncton Wildcats, Oct 16. Odds: Moncton 1.42, Shawinigan 5.30.
- Win, 7–4 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 12.
- Loss, 3–5 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Blainville 3.40, Rimouski 1.80.
- Loss, 3–4 against Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 18. Odds: Rimouski 1.85, Chicoutimi 3.25.
- Win, 4–3 against Gatineau Olympiques, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Rimouski 2.20, Gatineau 2.49.
- Win, 6–1 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Newfoundland Regiment, Oct 9.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 09:08 Goal Rimouski Oceanic: Arsenault Z. assists: Mares M. 0-1
- 18:56 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Lemieux P. assists: Desrochers M. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 11:33 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Branton M. assists: Lygitsakos C., Pederson R. 2-1
- 13:43 Goal Rimouski Oceanic: Belzil T. assists: Sturgeon C., Arsenault Z. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-1
- 01:13 Goal Rimouski Oceanic: Sturgeon C. assists: Belzil T., Schaaf A. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Rimouski Oceanic, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Rimouski Oceanic dropped from 1.81 to 1.62 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Shawinigan Cataractes.
- −2.2 goals away — Rimouski Oceanic averaged 6.2 at home and 4.0 away this season.
- 9.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHA) | 2.69 | 2.69 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RIM) | 2.01 | 2.01 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap SHA | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 | |
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 | |
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
Regular Season · East Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 70 | 48 | +22 | |
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 78 | 63 | +15 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 18 | .529 | 62 | 56 | +6 | |
| 4 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 7 | .206 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Shawinigan Cataractes host Rimouski Oceanic in the QMJHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.