Shawinigan Cataractes vs Sherbrooke Phoenix prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 51% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonSherbrookeodds down 1.72Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.46Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonShawinigan +1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSherbrookeodds down 1.45Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSherbrooke or drawodds down 1.26Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonSherbrookeodds down 1.41Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSherbrookeodds down 2.18Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.60Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Shawinigan 3–4
Sherbrooke Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min4–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonShawinigan Cataractes
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Head-to-head
Shawinigan 3–2
Sherbrooke - Nov 6, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 5, Shawinigan Cataractes 0.
- Aug 30, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 4, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Aug 28, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 3, Sherbrooke Phoenix 2, after overtime.
- Apr 7, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 6, Sherbrooke Phoenix 1.
- Apr 5, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 3, Shawinigan Cataractes 4.
Last five games
Shawinigan
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–5 at Sherbrooke Phoenix, Nov 6. Odds: Sherbrooke 1.55, Shawinigan 4.55.
- Loss, 3–9 at Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 31. Odds: Rouyn-Noranda 1.73, Shawinigan 3.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Val-d'Or Foreurs, Oct 30. Odds: Val-d'Or 1.33, Shawinigan 6.00.
- Win, 4–1 against Moncton Wildcats, Oct 25. Odds: Shawinigan 2.63, Moncton 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rimouski Oceanic, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Shawinigan 2.69, Rimouski 2.01.
Sherbrooke
1-4-0 - Win, 5–0 against Shawinigan Cataractes, Nov 6. Odds: Sherbrooke 1.55, Shawinigan 4.55.
- Loss, 3–5 against Halifax Mooseheads, Nov 1. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.10, Halifax 2.80.
- Loss, 1–2 against Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 30. Odds: Sherbrooke 1.50, Chicoutimi 4.80.
- Loss, 2–3 against Moncton Wildcats, Oct 23. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.18, Moncton 2.60.
- Loss, 2–4 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 22. Odds: Victoriaville 2.92, Sherbrooke 1.95.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 10:11 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kolmakov I. assists: Houle F., Tremblay L. 0-1
- 13:26 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Lygitsakos C. assists: Lemieux P., Shtyrhunov V. 1-1
- 19:01 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Rousseau T. assists: Tremblay L., Kolmakov I. 1-2
2nd period2-2
- 05:02 Goal PPG Shawinigan Cataractes: Matousek E. assists: Guevin E., Yared W. 2-2
- 09:24 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Lampron O. assists: Tremblay L. 2-3
- 10:21 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Lampron O., Kolmakov I. 2-4
- 13:08 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Shtyrhunov V. assists: Boyer S., Lygitsakos C. 3-4
3rd period1-1
- 11:20 Goal Shawinigan Cataractes: Carrier Y. assists: Shtyrhunov V., Desrochers M. 4-4
- 19:28 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Tremblay L. assists: Benard E., Houle F. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Shawinigan Cataractes coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sherbrooke Phoenix dropped from 1.43 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Shawinigan Cataractes.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Sherbrooke Phoenix.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHA) | 2.85 | 3.90 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 1.80 | 1.62 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SHA | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 | Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 | Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Shawinigan Cataractes host Sherbrooke Phoenix in the QMJHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.