Sheffield vs Manchester prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 23% in regulation
Greenfield M.StartedSV 91.2% · GAA 2.40 · 5-3-2
Weninger E.StartedSV 92.2% · GAA 2.80 · 3-4-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonSheffieldodds down 1.70Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.93Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostManchester +1.51.67Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSheffieldodds down 1.44Confidence 67%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSheffield or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 72%
- Draw no betWonSheffield1.37Confidence 70%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSheffield2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Sheffield 3–2
Manchester Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period4–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 15+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSheffield
Manchester
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Sheffield 4–1
Manchester - Nov 7, 2026: Sheffield 1, Manchester 3.
- Nov 6, 2026: Manchester 2, Sheffield 3.
- Oct 11, 2026: Manchester 3, Sheffield 4.
- Apr 18, 2026: Sheffield 6, Manchester 0.
- Feb 7, 2026: Manchester 2, Sheffield 5.
Last five games
Sheffield
3-2-0 - Win, 6–3 against Fife, Oct 25. Odds: Sheffield 1.27, Fife 6.00.
- Loss, 0–1 at Cardiff, Oct 24. Odds: Cardiff 1.93, Sheffield 2.89.
- Win, 4–3 against Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Sheffield 1.78, Guildford 3.07.
- Loss, 2–3 at Nottingham, Oct 17. Odds: Nottingham 2.19, Sheffield 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 at Manchester, Oct 11.
Manchester
1-1-3 - Win, 6–2 at Fife, Oct 24. Odds: Fife 2.47, Manchester 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Belfast, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Guildford 1.77, Manchester 3.16.
- Loss, 3–4 against Sheffield, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period4-1
- 04:35 Goal Sheffield: Tait R. assists: Jasper E., Roe L. 1-0
- 05:34 Goal Sheffield: Teissala L. assists: Erkamps M., Collins S. 2-0
- 07:30 Goal Sheffield: Tait R. assists: Stucker R., Roe L. 3-0
- 14:07 Goal Manchester: Johnson S. assists: Karlsson A., Busby D. 3-1
- 16:44 Goal Sheffield: Gettinger T. assists: Archambault O., Roe L. 4-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 04:46 Goal Manchester: Karlsson A. assists: Cutler B., Gilmour B. 4-2
- 15:42 Goal Sheffield: Juusola M. assists: Erkamps M. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Greenfield M. for Sheffield (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Weninger E. for Manchester (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sheffield.
- +1.4 goals at home — Sheffield averaged 4.0 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 1-1-3 in the last five for Manchester.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHE) | 1.67 | 1.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 3.45 | 3.35 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SHE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 |  Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 |  Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 |  Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 | Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sheffield host Manchester in the Challenge Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.