Sherbrooke Phoenix vs Chicoutimi Sagueneens prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2LostSherbrookeodds down 1.67Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO6.5odds down 1.82Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonChicoutimi +1.51.72Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSherbrookeodds down 1.40Confidence 55%
- Double chanceLostSherbrooke or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSherbrooke1.34Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSherbrooke2.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min1–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 17, 2026: Chicoutimi Sagueneens 3, Sherbrooke Phoenix 5.
- Mar 13, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 6, Chicoutimi Sagueneens 3.
- Feb 26, 2026: Chicoutimi Sagueneens 1, Sherbrooke Phoenix 3.
- Jan 3, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 2, Chicoutimi Sagueneens 4.
- Nov 1, 2025: Chicoutimi Sagueneens 4, Sherbrooke Phoenix 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 against Moncton Wildcats, Oct 23. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.18, Moncton 2.60.
- Loss, 2–4 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 22. Odds: Victoriaville 2.92, Sherbrooke 1.95.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Baie-Comeau Drakkar, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Baie-Comeau 6.80, Sherbrooke 1.33.
- Win, 5–3 at Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 17. Odds: Chicoutimi 2.45, Sherbrooke 2.21.
- Win, 4–3 against Cape Breton Eagles, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.47, Cape Breton 2.46.
- Loss, 3–5 at Baie-Comeau Drakkar, Oct 25. Odds: Baie-Comeau 3.30, Chicoutimi 1.87.
- Win, 4–2 against Baie-Comeau Drakkar, Oct 23. Odds: Chicoutimi 1.44, Baie-Comeau 5.30.
- Win, 4–3 at Rimouski Oceanic, Oct 18. Odds: Rimouski 1.85, Chicoutimi 3.25.
- Loss, 3–5 against Sherbrooke Phoenix, Oct 17. Odds: Chicoutimi 2.45, Sherbrooke 2.21.
- Win, 3–2 at Gatineau Olympiques, Oct 12. Odds: Gatineau 1.81, Chicoutimi 3.28.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:46 Goal Chicoutimi Sagueneens: Lecompte N. 0-1
2nd period0-1
- 00:46 Goal Chicoutimi Sagueneens: Toussaint A. assists: Poirier L., Lemieux-Goupil E. 0-2
3rd period1-0
- 18:33 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Plouffe J. assists: Tremblay L., Kuzminykh I. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Sherbrooke Phoenix coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Sherbrooke Phoenix, 4 for Chicoutimi Sagueneens.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sherbrooke Phoenix.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHE) | 1.50 | 1.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CHI) | 5.00 | 4.80 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SHE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 | |
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 | |
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
Regular Season · East Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 70 | 48 | +22 | |
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 78 | 63 | +15 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 18 | .529 | 62 | 56 | +6 | |
| 4 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 7 | .206 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sherbrooke Phoenix host Chicoutimi Sagueneens in the QMJHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.