Sherbrooke Phoenix vs Moncton Wildcats prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostSherbrookeodds up 2.12Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.33Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMoncton +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSherbrookeodds up 1.70Confidence 55%
- Double chanceLostSherbrooke or draw1.40Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostSherbrookeodds up 1.68Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSherbrooke2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sherbrooke 3–2
Moncton Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonSherbrooke Phoenix
Moncton Wildcats
Head-to-head
Sherbrooke 1–3
Moncton - Nov 19, 2025: Moncton Wildcats 6, Sherbrooke Phoenix 1.
- Nov 7, 2025: Sherbrooke Phoenix 4, Moncton Wildcats 3.
- Mar 7, 2025: Sherbrooke Phoenix 1, Moncton Wildcats 4.
- Oct 12, 2024: Moncton Wildcats 9, Sherbrooke Phoenix 3.
Last five games
Sherbrooke
3-1-1 - Loss, 2–4 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 22. Odds: Victoriaville 2.92, Sherbrooke 1.95.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Baie-Comeau Drakkar, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Baie-Comeau 6.80, Sherbrooke 1.33.
- Win, 5–3 at Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 17. Odds: Chicoutimi 2.45, Sherbrooke 2.21.
- Win, 4–3 against Cape Breton Eagles, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.47, Cape Breton 2.46.
- Win, 6–1 against Baie-Comeau Drakkar, Oct 10.
Moncton
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Val-d'Or Foreurs, Oct 17. Odds: Moncton 2.75, Val-d'Or 2.00.
- Win, 6–4 against Shawinigan Cataractes, Oct 16. Odds: Moncton 1.42, Shawinigan 5.30.
- Loss, 1–2 against Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Drummondville Voltigeurs, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 at Cape Breton Eagles, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 16:17 Goal PPG Moncton Wildcats: Chudzinski R. assists: Brosnan M., Kilfoil L. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 07:07 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Plouffe J., Tremblay L. 1-1
- 16:37 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Laitinen J. assists: Coccaro T., Tournas N. 1-2
3rd period1-1
- 08:26 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Kolmakov I., Tremblay L. 2-2
- 11:56 Goal Moncton Wildcats: Gould S. assists: Kilfoil L., Tournas N. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Sherbrooke Phoenix, who played yesterday.
- 5-1-0 at home for Sherbrooke Phoenix this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Moncton Wildcats.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Moncton Wildcats.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHE) | 2.30 | 2.18 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MON) | 2.50 | 2.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap SHE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 | Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 |  Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
Regular Season · Maritimes Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newfoundland Regiment |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 63 | 58 | +5 |
| 2 |  Saint John Sea Dogs |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 24 | .667 | 65 | 59 | +6 |
| 3 |  Halifax Mooseheads |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 66 | −7 |
| 4 |  Cape Breton Eagles |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | .559 | 57 | 55 | +2 |
| 5 | Moncton Wildcats |
18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .528 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 6 |  Charlottetown Islanders |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .421 | 64 | 87 | −23 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sherbrooke Phoenix host Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.