Sherbrooke Phoenix vs Shawinigan Cataractes prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonSherbrookeodds up 1.47Confidence 59%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.40Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostShawinigan +1.5odds down 1.93Confidence 57%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSherbrookeodds up 1.27Confidence 69%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonSherbrooke or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 92%
- Draw no betWonSherbrookeodds up 1.22Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSherbrookeodds up 1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.58Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sherbrooke 4–3
Shawinigan Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–03%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonSherbrooke Phoenix
Shawinigan Cataractes
Head-to-head
Sherbrooke 2–3
Shawinigan - Nov 8, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 4, Sherbrooke Phoenix 5.
- Aug 30, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 4, Shawinigan Cataractes 2.
- Aug 28, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 3, Sherbrooke Phoenix 2, after overtime.
- Apr 7, 2026: Shawinigan Cataractes 6, Sherbrooke Phoenix 1.
- Apr 5, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 3, Shawinigan Cataractes 4.
Last five games
Sherbrooke
0-4-1 - Loss, 3–5 against Halifax Mooseheads, Nov 1. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.10, Halifax 2.80.
- Loss, 1–2 against Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 30. Odds: Sherbrooke 1.50, Chicoutimi 4.80.
- Loss, 2–3 against Moncton Wildcats, Oct 23. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.18, Moncton 2.60.
- Loss, 2–4 at Victoriaville Tigres, Oct 22. Odds: Victoriaville 2.92, Sherbrooke 1.95.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Baie-Comeau Drakkar, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Baie-Comeau 6.80, Sherbrooke 1.33.
Shawinigan
1-2-2 - Loss, 3–9 at Rouyn-Noranda Huskies, Oct 31. Odds: Rouyn-Noranda 1.73, Shawinigan 3.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Val-d'Or Foreurs, Oct 30. Odds: Val-d'Or 1.33, Shawinigan 6.00.
- Win, 4–1 against Moncton Wildcats, Oct 25. Odds: Shawinigan 2.63, Moncton 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rimouski Oceanic, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Shawinigan 2.69, Rimouski 2.01.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Halifax Mooseheads, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Halifax 1.70, Shawinigan 3.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 09:29 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Gagnon S., Beck K. 1-0
2nd period3-0
- 00:55 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Tremblay L. assists: Kuzminykh I., Plouffe J. 2-0
- 11:18 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Tremblay L., Leduc D. 3-0
- 11:38 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Rochon S. assists: St. Louis M., Martin A. 4-0
3rd period1-0
- 13:38 Goal PPG Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Kolmakov I., Tremblay L. 5-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Sherbrooke Phoenix coming into this game.
- 2-7-2 away for Shawinigan Cataractes this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Shawinigan Cataractes.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Shawinigan Cataractes.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SHE) | 1.55 | 1.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SHA) | 3.60 | 4.55 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap SHE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 | Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 | Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sherbrooke Phoenix host Shawinigan Cataractes in the QMJHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.