SKA St. Petersburg vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction
SKA St. Petersburg 3–, Nizhny Novgorod 4
FT
Puck drop 12:30 ET
1X2 2.151X2 3.01
Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg) · RussiaIce Palace (Saint Petersburg)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
SSP
1
0
2
NIZ
1
2
1
45%SKA St. Petersburg win · 34% in regulationSSP
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
55%Nizhny Novgorod win · 43% in regulationNIZ
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
Pleshkov A.StartedSV 91.9% · GAA 2.80 · 6-4-0
Kostin D.StartedSV 91.7% · GAA 2.10 · 5-4-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Over/Under
Lost
U6.5
odds down 1.31
Confidence74%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonNizhny Novgorododds down 2.83Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.31Confidence 74%
- HandicapWonNizhny Novgorod +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNizhny Novgorododds down 2.13Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonNizhny Novgorod or drawodds down 1.65Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonNizhny Novgorododds down 2.19Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.SKA 1–3
Nizhny Novgorod
Total goalsTotal
4
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
NIZ to winTo win
55%
NIZ won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min3–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
SKA St. Petersburg
Nizhny Novgorod
SKA St. Petersburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Season recordSKA St. Petersburg 9-8-1Nizhny Novgorod 11-5-2
Home / road splitSKA St. Petersburg 6-3-0Nizhny Novgorod 7-2-0
StreakSKA St. Petersburg L1Nizhny Novgorod L1
RestSKA St. Petersburg 1 dayNizhny Novgorod 2 days
Goals forSKA St. Petersburg 3.1Nizhny Novgorod 2.7
Goals againstSKA St. Petersburg 3.0Nizhny Novgorod 2.0
In the standingsSKA St. Petersburg 3rdNizhny Novgorod 1st
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameSKA St. Petersburg −1.1Nizhny Novgorod 0.0
Goals forSKA St. Petersburg 2.5Nizhny Novgorod 2.2
Goals againstSKA St. Petersburg 3.6Nizhny Novgorod 2.2
Shots on goalSKA St. Petersburg 30.3Nizhny Novgorod 29.1
Shots againstSKA St. Petersburg 30.5Nizhny Novgorod 24.8
Shooting %SKA St. Petersburg 8.3%Nizhny Novgorod 7.6%
Save %SKA St. Petersburg 88.9%Nizhny Novgorod 91.1%
Power-play %SKA St. Petersburg 20.0%Nizhny Novgorod 4.3%
Penalty kill %SKA St. Petersburg 75.8%Nizhny Novgorod 94.4%
Faceoff %SKA St. Petersburg 52.0%Nizhny Novgorod 52.6%
Penalty minutesSKA St. Petersburg 7.2Nizhny Novgorod 9.9
HitsSKA St. Petersburg 17.9Nizhny Novgorod 22.5
Blocked shotsSKA St. Petersburg 19.7Nizhny Novgorod 15.5
Per game · SSP at home, NIZ away
Goal differential per gameSKA St. Petersburg +0.3Nizhny Novgorod +0.7
Goals forSKA St. Petersburg 3.5Nizhny Novgorod 2.6
Goals againstSKA St. Petersburg 3.2Nizhny Novgorod 1.9
Shots on goalSKA St. Petersburg 29.0Nizhny Novgorod 26.7
Shots againstSKA St. Petersburg 30.9Nizhny Novgorod 26.7
Shooting %SKA St. Petersburg 12.1%Nizhny Novgorod 9.7%
Save %SKA St. Petersburg 90.6%Nizhny Novgorod 93.3%
Power-play %SKA St. Petersburg 19.4%Nizhny Novgorod 19.0%
Penalty kill %SKA St. Petersburg 84.6%Nizhny Novgorod 82.4%
Faceoff %SKA St. Petersburg 50.6%Nizhny Novgorod 46.3%
Penalty minutesSKA St. Petersburg 6.3Nizhny Novgorod 8.7
HitsSKA St. Petersburg 19.6Nizhny Novgorod 16.3
Blocked shotsSKA St. Petersburg 17.6Nizhny Novgorod 14.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
SKA 1–4
Nizhny Novgorod
Goals a gameGoals
5.6
SSP 1.8 · NIZ 3.8
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
3 of 5
2 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Jan 24, 2026: Nizhny Novgorod 6, SKA St. Petersburg 0.
- Oct 1, 2025: SKA St. Petersburg 2, Nizhny Novgorod 3, after overtime.
- Sep 29, 2025: SKA St. Petersburg 2, Nizhny Novgorod 5.
- Sep 8, 2025: Nizhny Novgorod 3, SKA St. Petersburg 2, after overtime.
- Mar 22, 2025: Nizhny Novgorod 2, SKA St. Petersburg 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
SKA
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–3 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 25. Odds: SKA 2.74, CSKA Moscow 2.27.
- Win, 6–3 against Novosibirsk, Oct 22. Odds: SKA 1.82, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 1–3 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 20. Odds: SKA 2.07, Yekaterinburg 3.03.
- Loss, 0–1 at Lada, Oct 15. Odds: Lada 4.40, SKA 1.60.
- Loss, 0–2 at Cherepovets, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
Nizhny Novgorod
2-1-2 - Overtime loss, 1–2 against Dinamo Minsk, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.30, Dinamo Minsk 2.76.
- Win, 2–1 at Bars Kazan, after a shootout, Oct 21. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.25, Nizhny Novgorod 2.74.
- Loss, 1–4 at Cherepovets, Oct 19. Odds: Cherepovets 2.30, Nizhny Novgorod 2.67.
- Win, 5–4 against Dynamo Moscow, Oct 16. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.16, Dynamo Moscow 2.70.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.90, Magnitogorsk 2.08.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:01 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Goncharuk S. Tripping
- 06:40 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Zykov V. Interference
- 13:42 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Zaitsev N. Illegal check to the head
- 14:51 Goal PPG Nizhny Novgorod: Vinogradov Y. assists: Polyakov M., Tkachyov V. 0-1
- 15:56 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Kraskovsky P. Slashing
- 17:26 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Dyblenko Y. Delay of game
- 17:46 Goal PPG SKA St. Petersburg: Korotky M. assists: Atanasov V., Glotov V. 1-1
2nd period0-2
- 06:23 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Pedan A. Cross checking
- 06:54 Goal PPG Nizhny Novgorod: Seroukh D. assists: Polyakov M., Vinogradov Y. 1-2
- 14:18 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Brickey S. Elbowing
- 17:39 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Fyodorov V. assists: Goncharuk S. 1-3
3rd period2-1
- 05:23 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Syomin V. Hooking
- 07:52 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: — Too many men on the ice
- 12:20 2 min Nizhny Novgorod: Polyakov M. Interference
- 13:25 Goal PPG SKA St. Petersburg: Aimurzin D. assists: Savikov Y. 2-3
- 15:02 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Pedan A. Cross checking
- 19:15 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Korotky M. assists: Savikov Y. 3-3
- 19:46 Goal Nizhny Novgorod: Vinogradov Y. assists: Tkachyov V., Sizov A. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Pleshkov A. for SKA St. Petersburg (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Kostin D. for Nizhny Novgorod (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-2-0 away for Nizhny Novgorod this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — SKA St. Petersburg −1.1, Nizhny Novgorod 0.0 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Nizhny Novgorod.
- +1.4 goals at home — SKA St. Petersburg averaged 3.8 at home and 2.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SSP) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.29 | 4.29 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NIZ) | 3.01 | 3.01 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SSP | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 3 | SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 4 |  Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 5 |  Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SKA St. Petersburg host Nizhny Novgorod in the KHL on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.