SKA St. Petersburg vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonSKAodds down 1.69Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 77%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostNovosibirsk +2.51.30Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSKAodds down 1.39Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonSKA or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonSKAodds down 1.34Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min6–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period4–323%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals1st · 7 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 18, 2026: Novosibirsk 4, SKA St. Petersburg 1.
- Oct 29, 2025: SKA St. Petersburg 3, Novosibirsk 2.
- Nov 13, 2024: Novosibirsk 0, SKA St. Petersburg 1, after a shootout.
- Oct 28, 2024: SKA St. Petersburg 6, Novosibirsk 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 20. Odds: SKA 2.07, Yekaterinburg 3.03.
- Loss, 0–1 at Lada, Oct 15. Odds: Lada 4.40, SKA 1.60.
- Loss, 0–2 at Cherepovets, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.47, SKA 2.35.
- Loss, 2–4 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 1.83, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 0–1 against Barys Astana, Oct 17. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Barys Astana 2.30.
- Win, 4–2 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Barys Astana, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
- Win, 2–1 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 10. Odds: Tractor 1.92, Novosibirsk 3.30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period4-3
- 02:33 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Nugmanov A. assists: Knyzhov N., Savikov Y. 1-0
- 03:22 Goal Novosibirsk: Korshkov Y. 1-1
- 03:49 Goal Novosibirsk: Popov S. assists: Yaremchuk A., Nikulin S. 1-2
- 06:03 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Maklyukov A. Holding
- 07:17 Goal PPG Novosibirsk: Kosolapov A. assists: Nikulin S., Dietz D. 1-3
- 07:17 Goalie change SKA St. Petersburg: Ivanov S. replaces Pleshkov A.
- 11:09 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Glotov V. assists: Maklyukov A., Zaitsev N. 2-3
- 14:26 2 min Novosibirsk: Orlov M. High sticking
- 14:47 Goal PPG SKA St. Petersburg: Glotov V. assists: Korotky M., Aimurzin D. 3-3
- 16:06 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Grimaldi R. 4-3
- 16:06 Goalie change Novosibirsk: Krasotkin A. replaces Berdin M.
2nd period1-0
- 00:50 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Zykov V. assists: Aimurzin D. 5-3
3rd period1-0
- 03:27 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Maklyukov A. Tripping
- 11:12 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Atanasov V. assists: Savikov Y., Pedan A. 6-3
- 14:57 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Grimaldi R. Holding
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for SKA St. Petersburg coming into this game.
- In goal: Pleshkov A. for SKA St. Petersburg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Berdin M. for Novosibirsk (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for SKA St. Petersburg.
- +1.5 goals at home — SKA St. Petersburg averaged 3.9 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Novosibirsk.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SSP) | 1.82 | 1.82 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SSP | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 5 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SKA St. Petersburg host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.