SKA St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 49% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostSpartak Moscowodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.60Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSpartak Moscow +1.5odds down 1.27Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSpartak Moscowodds down 1.88Confidence 62%
- Double chanceLostSpartak Moscow or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostSpartak Moscowodds down 1.89Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSpartak Moscowodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.18Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min7–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period5–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals1st · 5 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 10, 2026: Spartak Moscow 3, SKA St. Petersburg 1.
- Jan 30, 2026: Spartak Moscow 4, SKA St. Petersburg 0.
- Jan 22, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 1, Spartak Moscow 2.
- Dec 20, 2025: SKA St. Petersburg 1, Spartak Moscow 2.
- Oct 3, 2025: Spartak Moscow 3, SKA St. Petersburg 1.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Khabarovsk, Nov 6. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.55, SKA 2.47.
- Loss, 0–4 at Vladivostok, Nov 4. Odds: Vladivostok 3.00, SKA 1.84.
- Win, 4–3 at Bars Kazan, Nov 2. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.39, SKA 2.57.
- Loss, 3–4 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 27. Odds: SKA 2.15, Nizhny Novgorod 3.01.
- Loss, 1–3 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 25. Odds: SKA 2.74, CSKA Moscow 2.27.
- Win, 5–3 against Dinamo Minsk, Nov 6. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.05, Dinamo Minsk 3.20.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Nov 4. Odds: Spartak Moscow 2.85, Lokomotiv 2.20.
- Loss, 1–3 at Nizhny Novgorod, Nov 1. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.30, Spartak Moscow 2.70.
- Win, 5–1 at Cherepovets, Oct 30. Odds: Cherepovets 2.85, Spartak Moscow 2.19.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Cherepovets, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Cherepovets 2.80, Spartak Moscow 2.22.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period5-0
- 03:26 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Glotov V. assists: Korotky M., Atanasov V. 1-0
- 06:46 2 min Spartak Moscow: — Too many men on the ice
- 11:30 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Grimaldi R. assists: Romanov V. 2-0
- 13:02 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Wilson S. assists: Goldobin N. 3-0
- 13:36 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Sapego S. assists: Atanasov V., Glotov V. 4-0
- 13:36 Goalie change Spartak Moscow: Volokhin Y. replaces Zagidulin A.
- 18:41 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Nedopyokin N. assists: Suzdorf G., Glotov V. 5-0
2nd period1-1
- 02:25 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Nedopyokin N. assists: Maklyukov A. 6-0
- 04:05 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Atanasov V. Kneeing
- 12:39 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Suzdorf G. Tripping
- 15:29 2 min Spartak Moscow: Keane J. Holding
- 17:16 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Glotov V. Tripping
- 18:45 Goal PPG Spartak Moscow: Comtois M. 6-1
3rd period1-0
- 19:29 Goal SKA St. Petersburg: Pedan A. assists: Goldobin N., Plotnikov S. 7-1
- 19:37 2 min Spartak Moscow: Lukyantsev S. Interference
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Spartak Moscow.
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — SKA St. Petersburg −0.8, Spartak Moscow +1.0 over their recent games.
- +1.4 goals at home — SKA St. Petersburg averaged 3.7 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 3.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the KHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SSP) | 2.51 | 2.51 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.16 | 4.16 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SPA) | 2.56 | 2.56 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap SSP | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 5 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
SKA St. Petersburg host Spartak Moscow in the KHL on Monday, November 9, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.