SKA-VMF St. Petersburg vs Kaluga prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 24% in regulation
Popov D.StartedSV 93.6% · GAA 1.60 · 6-3-1
Vladychek A.StartedSV 94.1% · GAA 1.63 · 4-0-4All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.92Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostKaluga +1.5Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.53Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or draw1.22Confidence 78%
- Draw no betWonSKA-VMFConfidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.54Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.SKA-VMF 2–1
Kaluga Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–06%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–027%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Kaluga
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
SKA-VMF
4-0-1 - Win, 5–0 against AKM, Oct 26. Odds: SKA-VMF 2.20, AKM 2.89.
- Win, 4–0 against Ryazan, Oct 24. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.82, Ryazan 3.68.
- Win, 4–0 at Bars, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
- Win, 5–0 at CSK VVS, Oct 12. Odds: CSK VVS 3.35, SKA-VMF 1.81.
Kaluga
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–3 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 26. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.61, Kaluga 2.38.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.77, Kaluga 2.25.
- Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Gornyak, Oct 18. Odds: Kaluga 2.24, Gornyak 2.90.
- Win, 5–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 14:09 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Zhuravlev Y. assists: Shekhovtsov Y., Sorokin Y. 1-0
3rd period1-0
- 16:29 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Gurzanov Y. assists: Busarov G., Dyadenkin D. 2-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg coming into this game.
- 6-1-0 at home for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg this season.
- In goal: Popov D. for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Vladychek A. for Kaluga (4-0-4 in the last 8 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +2.5, Kaluga +0.5 over their recent games.
- Save % gap: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 97.4%, Kaluga 94.3% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SVS) | 1.89 | 1.83 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.76 | 3.69 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KAL) | 3.63 | 3.94 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg host Kaluga in the VHL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.