Skalica vs Ziar nad Hronom prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 23% in regulation
Vallus S.Started8-0-2
Petrik R.Started5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostSkalicaodds down 1.72Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonZiar nad Hronom +1.51.70Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostSkalicaodds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- Double chanceLostSkalica or draw1.24Confidence 79%
- Draw no betLostSkalicaConfidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSkalicaConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Skalica 3–2
Ziar nad Hronom Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonSkalica
Ziar nad Hronom
Head-to-head
Skalica 2–3
Ziar nad Hronom - Sep 25, 2026: Ziar nad Hronom 5, Skalica 1.
- Jan 23, 2026: Ziar nad Hronom 2, Skalica 3, after overtime.
- Dec 17, 2025: Skalica 2, Ziar nad Hronom 3, after overtime.
- Oct 31, 2025: Skalica 2, Ziar nad Hronom 1, after overtime.
- Sep 24, 2025: Ziar nad Hronom 7, Skalica 3.
Last five games
Skalica
4-0-1 - Overtime loss, 4–5 at HC 19 Humenne, after a shootout, Oct 28. Odds: Humenne 2.05, Skalica 2.70.
- Win, 3–2 at Trnava, Oct 23. Odds: Trnava 3.55, Skalica 1.70.
- Win, 6–1 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 21. Odds: TEBS Bratislava 3.50, Skalica 1.70.
- Win, 2–1 at Nove Zamky, Oct 18. Odds: Nove Zamky 3.45, Skalica 1.67.
- Win, 4–3 against HK Levice, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Skalica 1.40, Levice 5.34.
Ziar nad Hronom
3-1-1 - Win, 4–3 against HK Levice, Oct 28. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.47, Levice 4.75.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 at Povazska Bystrica, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 3.90, Ziar nad Hronom 1.62.
- Loss, 5–8 against Martin, Oct 21. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 2.05, Martin 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against Dubnica, Oct 18. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.91, Dubnica 2.89.
- Win, 3–2 at HC 19 Humenne, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Humenne 1.84, Ziar nad Hronom 3.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:28 Goal Ziar nad Hronom: Lopusan S. assists: Klima T., Gallo P. 0-1
2nd period0-3
- 03:43 Goal PPG Ziar nad Hronom: Klima T. assists: Fekiac V. 0-2
- 13:21 Goal Ziar nad Hronom: Fekiac V. assists: Urbanek L., Vishneuski A. 0-3
- 15:37 Goal Ziar nad Hronom: Lasak J. assists: Podkonicky C. T., Halama J. 0-4
3rd period1-0
- 02:42 Goal PPG Skalica: Jakubik I. assists: Kubicek P. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Vallus S. for Skalica (8-0-2 in the last 10 starts), Petrik R. for Ziar nad Hronom (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ziar nad Hronom.
- +1.3 goals at home — Skalica averaged 5.0 at home and 3.8 away this season.
- −3.6 goals away — Ziar nad Hronom averaged 4.8 at home and 1.2 away this season.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Skalica.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SKA) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.30 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ZNH) | 3.35 | 3.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SKA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 | Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 | Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 |  Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 |  Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 |  Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 |  Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Skalica host Ziar nad Hronom in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.