Skellefteå vs Djurgarden prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 17% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonSkellefteaodds down 1.50Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.37Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonSkelleftea -0.5odds down 1.53Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonSkellefteaodds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonSkelleftea or draw1.15Confidence 75%
- Draw no betWonSkellefteaodds down 1.22Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSkellefteaodds down 2.04Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–18%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–121%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 14, 2026: Djurgarden 2, Skellefteå 3.
- Dec 28, 2025: Skellefteå 2, Djurgarden 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 15, 2025: Skellefteå 4, Djurgarden 0.
- Sep 13, 2025: Djurgarden 5, Skellefteå 4.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Frölunda, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Frolunda 2.37, Skelleftea 2.27.
- Win, 2–1 at Vaxjo, Oct 15. Odds: Vaxjo 2.90, Skelleftea 2.16.
- Win, 4–2 against Salzburg, Oct 13. Odds: Skelleftea 1.29, Salzburg 7.43.
- Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
- Loss, 1–5 against Farjestad, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–6 at Frölunda, Oct 20. Odds: Frolunda 1.52, Djurgarden 4.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Malmo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Djurgarden 2.18, Malmo 2.42.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Brynas, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Brynas 1.67, Djurgarden 4.47.
- Win, 5–1 against Linkoping, Oct 10. Odds: Djurgarden 2.12, Linkoping 2.80.
- Win, 2–1 against Orebro, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 05:22 2 min Djurgarden: Wahlstrom O. Tripping
- 07:51 Goal Skellefteå: Vuollet O. assists: Johansson P., Lundberg A. 1-0
- 13:04 Goal Djurgarden: Kruger M. assists: Snively J., Hudon Ch. 1-1
- 13:49 2 min Djurgarden: Lindstrom G. Tripping
- 18:28 2 min Skellefteå: Bergqvist R. Holding
2nd period1-0
- 02:11 2 min Djurgarden: Holm P. Holding
- 05:08 Goal Skellefteå: Davidsson J. assists: Vuollet O., Mann S. 2-1
- 07:31 2 min Djurgarden: Salsten H. Hooking
- 17:06 2 min Djurgarden: Holm P. Interference
3rd period2-0
- 04:36 Goal Skellefteå: Aagaard M. assists: Lindberg O., Hugg R. 3-1
- 07:10 2 min Skellefteå: Johnson A. Interference
- 11:24 2 min Djurgarden: Brouillard N. Slashing
- 12:00 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Pudas J. assists: Lindberg O., Aagaard M. 4-1
- 13:38 2 min Skellefteå: Johnson A. Roughing
- 13:38 2 min Djurgarden: Hartmann S. Roughing
- 19:52 2 min Skellefteå: Forsfjall Z. Holding
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Skellefteå dropped from 1.40 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Skellefteå, 1 for Djurgarden.
- 0-3-2 away for Djurgarden this season.
- In goal: Mann S. for Skellefteå (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Hellberg M. for Djurgarden (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Skellefteå this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SKE) | 1.51 | 1.44 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 5.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (DJU) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SKE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Skellefteå host Djurgarden in the SHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.