Skellefteå vs Farjestad prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSkelleftea2.28Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.31Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonFarjestad +1.51.24Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSkellefteaodds up 1.77Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostSkelleftea or draw1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSkellefteaodds up 1.75Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.29Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.48Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–128%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 7, 2025: Skellefteå 4, Farjestad 3, after overtime.
- Nov 28, 2025: Farjestad 0, Skellefteå 2.
- Oct 19, 2025: Skellefteå 2, Farjestad 1.
- Sep 14, 2025: Farjestad 3, Skellefteå 2.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at SDE HF, Oct 12. Odds: SDE HF 1.65, Skelleftea 3.70.
- Loss, 0–3 at Djurgarden, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Linkoping, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Linkoping 1.91, Skellefteå 3.15.
- Loss, 0–4 against Brynas, Sep 27.
- Win, 4–2 against MODO, Sep 25.
- Loss, 3–4 at Luleå, Oct 14. Odds: Lulea 1.57, Farjestad 4.60.
- Loss, 1–2 against Luleå, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–4 against Frölunda, Oct 9. Odds: Farjestad 3.10, Frölunda 1.86.
- Loss, 0–1 against Linkoping, Sep 25.
- Win, 4–1 against HV 71, Sep 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:51 Goal Skellefteå: Pirttijarvi J. 1-0
- 17:20 Goal PPG Farjestad: Muren E. assists: Albinsson E., Voigt S. 1-1
2nd period1-2
- 03:36 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Kuoppala I. assists: Lindgren T. 2-1
- 05:00 Goal Farjestad: Muren E. assists: Albinsson E. 2-2
- 12:48 Goal Farjestad: Borrow A. assists: Garcia K. 2-3
3rd period0-1
- 09:42 Goal Farjestad: Bellefontaine L. assists: Muren E., Albinsson E. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Farjestad coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Skellefteå, 1 for Farjestad.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Skellefteå.
- 4.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 10th vs 8th in the SDHL Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SKE) | 2.29 | 2.29 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.59 | 3.59 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FAR) | 2.61 | 2.61 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap SKE | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SDHL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.500 | 30 | 5 | +25 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 18 | 22 | −4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 23 | 17 | +6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .813 | 21 | 17 | +4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 11 | 12 | −1 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 21 | −3 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .643 | 16 | 19 | −3 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 17 | 21 | −4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .500 | 9 | 16 | −7 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .389 | 15 | 28 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Skellefteå host Farjestad in the SDHL Women on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.