Skellefteå vs Frölunda prediction
Chance to win · 24% and 54% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonFrolundaodds down 1.55Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSkelleftea +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFrolundaodds down 1.40Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonFrolunda or drawodds down 1.19Confidence 77%
- Draw no betWonFrolundaodds down 1.25Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.22Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min1–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–228%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 1-3 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 16, 2026: Frölunda 0, Skellefteå 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Skellefteå 2, Frölunda 3.
- Oct 10, 2025: Frölunda 3, Skellefteå 1.
- Sep 7, 2025: Skellefteå 1, Frölunda 3.
- Jan 19, 2025: Frölunda 6, Skellefteå 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 against Farjestad, Oct 16. Odds: Skelleftea 2.29, Farjestad 2.61.
- Win, 2–1 at SDE HF, Oct 12. Odds: SDE HF 1.65, Skelleftea 3.70.
- Loss, 0–3 at Djurgarden, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Linkoping, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Linkoping 1.91, Skellefteå 3.15.
- Loss, 0–4 against Brynas, Sep 27.
- Win, 4–3 at Luleå, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Lulea 2.77, Frolunda 2.18.
- Win, 4–0 at Farjestad, Oct 9. Odds: Farjestad 3.10, Frölunda 1.86.
- Loss, 0–2 against SDE HF, Sep 25.
- Loss, 1–4 at MODO, Sep 19.
- Loss, 0–3 against Brynas, Sep 16.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 03:39 Goal Frölunda: Nix E. assists: Johansson L. 0-1
- 06:44 Goal Frölunda: Westerlind E. assists: Holopainen E., Olsson H. 0-2
2nd period1-2
- 04:02 Goal Skellefteå: Pirttijarvi J. assists: Eriksson L., Kuoppala I. 1-2
- 04:48 Goal Frölunda: Liikala J. assists: Pejzlova M. 1-3
- 08:27 Goal Frölunda: Liikala J. 1-4
3rd period0-1
- 16:54 Goal Frölunda: Holopainen E. assists: Olsson H. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Frölunda dropped from 1.40 to 1.29 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
- +1.0 goals at home — Skellefteå averaged 2.3 at home and 1.3 away this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Skellefteå.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SKE) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FRO) | 1.52 | 1.52 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap SKE | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SDHL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.500 | 30 | 5 | +25 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 18 | 22 | −4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 23 | 17 | +6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .813 | 21 | 17 | +4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 11 | 12 | −1 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 21 | −3 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .643 | 16 | 19 | −3 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 17 | 21 | −4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .500 | 9 | 16 | −7 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .389 | 15 | 28 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Skellefteå host Frölunda in the SDHL Women on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.