Skellefteå vs Salzburg Prediction & Picks

Champions Hockey League Tuesday, October 13, 2026Tue · Oct 13 Round 6

HomeSkellefteå5-1-02nd in the standingsWLLWW

42 FT Puck drop 13:00 ET 1.297.43

1st 2nd 3rd

SKE 0 3 1

SAL 1 0 1

Skellefteå Kraft Arena (Skellefteå)Skellefteå Kraft Arena (Skellefteå)

AwaySalzburg1-5-020th in the standingsLWLWW

92%Skellefteå win · 87% in regulationSKE Overtime or shootout · 8%OT / SO 8% 8%Salzburg win · 5% in regulationSAL

Chance to win · 87% and 5% in regulation

Lampinen J.StartedSV 87.9% · GAA 2.70 · 5-3-2

In goal

Kickert D.StartedSV 90.3% · GAA 2.60 · 5-4-1

Best tip of the gameBest tip 1X2 Won

Skelleftea 1.28

Confidence60%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

Best tip of the game: 1X2WonSkellefteaodds up 1.28Confidence 60%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 69%
HandicapWonSkelleftea -1.5odds up 1.52Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSkellefteaodds up 1.12Confidence 72%
Double chanceWonSkelleftea or drawodds down 1.08Confidence 73%
Draw no betWonSkellefteaodds down 1.15Confidence 74%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.15Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostSkelleftea1.76Confidence 61%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.78Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the teams play in different competitions; the odds drifted 7% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Skelleftea 41

Salzburg

Final 4–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 8% Decided in regulation

SKE to winTo win 92% SKE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–27%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–115%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%)

The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-1-01-4-0

Home / road split2-0-00-2-0

StreakW1L1

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for4.02.2

Goals against2.04.0

In the standings2nd20th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.9+0.3

Goals for3.63.5

Goals against2.73.2

Shots on goal31.834.5

Shots against22.124.4

Shooting %11.3%10.1%

Save %88.7%86.9%

Power-play %23.9%21.2%

Penalty kill %84.6%83.3%

Faceoff %49.4%49.3%

Penalty minutes7.812.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Skelleftea 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
Loss, 1–5 against Farjestad, Oct 8.
Loss, 2–4 at Plzen, Oct 6.
Win, 4–1 at Timrå, Oct 3.
Win, 4–3 against Malmo, after overtime, Oct 1.

Salzburg 3-2-0

Loss, 3–5 at Klagenfurt, Oct 11.
Win, 6–1 at Fehervar AV19, Oct 9. Odds: Fehervar 2.90, Salzburg 1.95.
Loss, 3–4 against Eisbaren Berlin, Oct 7.
Win, 5–2 against Milano, Oct 4.
Win, 4–1 at Vorarlberg, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

11:12 2 min Skellefteå: Lindberg V. Interference
12:43 Goal PPG Salzburg: Robertson D. assists: Nissner B., Huber M. 0-1
15:05 2 min Salzburg: Gesson A. High sticking
20:00 2 min Salzburg: Auer L. C. Hooking

2nd period3-0

02:31 2 min Salzburg: Auer L. C. Delay of game
05:37 Goal Skellefteå: Nilsen H. assists: Lindberg O., Hugg R. 1-1
07:39 2 min Salzburg: Nissner B. Unsportsmanlike conduct
08:56 Goal PPG Skellefteå: Vuollet O. assists: Hugg R., Lindberg O. 2-1
13:17 Goal Skellefteå: Davidsson J. assists: Nordlund V., Johansson P. 3-1
17:40 2 min Skellefteå: Lundstrom O. Holding

3rd period1-1

04:42 Goal Skellefteå: Vuollet O. assists: Lorentzon L., Johnson A. 4-1
14:59 Goal Salzburg: Huber M. assists: Brooks A., Nienhuis N. 4-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (SKE)	1.30	1.29	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	5.82	5.91	Drifted
1X2: 2 (SAL)	7.14	7.43	Drifted
Over/Under line	6	5.5	Line lowered
Handicap SKE	−2.5	−2.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Champions Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Plzen	5	5	0	0	15	1.500	24	9	+15
2	Skelleftea	6	5	1	0	15	1.250	24	12	+12
3	Pardubice	6	5	1	0	14	1.167	22	9	+13
4	Kolner	5	5	0	0	14	1.400	21	9	+12
5	Frolunda	6	4	1	1	12	1.000	28	14	+14
6	Adler Mannheim	6	4	2	0	11	.917	20	20	0
7	Tappara	6	3	1	2	11	.917	19	18	+1
8	Vaxjo	6	3	2	1	10	.833	16	11	+5
9	SaiPa	5	3	1	1	10	1.000	16	14	+2
10	KooKoo	6	3	2	1	10	.833	20	19	+1
11	Fribourg	5	3	2	0	9	.900	18	12	+6
12	Rogle	6	3	3	0	9	.750	13	12	+1
13	Servette	5	3	2	0	9	.900	12	11	+1
14	Eisbaren Berlin	5	3	2	0	9	.900	14	19	−5
15	Davos	5	3	2	0	8	.800	19	15	+4
16	Nitra	6	3	3	0	8	.667	15	19	−4
17	Liberec	5	3	2	0	7	.700	14	14	0
18	Storhamar	5	2	2	1	6	.600	11	13	−2
19	Bordeaux	6	1	4	1	4	.333	16	35	−19
20	Salzburg	6	1	5	0	3	.250	13	24	−11
21	Klagenfurt	5	1	4	0	2	.200	8	14	−6
22	Herning Blue Fox	5	0	4	1	1	.100	6	19	−13
23	Tychy	6	0	5	1	1	.083	10	24	−14
24	Graz99ers	5	0	5	0	0	.000	8	21	−13

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Skellefteå host Salzburg in the Champions Hockey League on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.