Sochi vs Avangard Omsk prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 57% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostAvangard Omskodds up 1.49Confidence 60%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.36Confidence 76%
- HandicapWonSochi +2.5odds down 1.42Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAvangard Omskodds up 1.27Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonAvangard Omsk or draw1.12Confidence 79%
- Draw no betPushAvangard Omskodds up 1.22Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAvangard Omskodds up 2.03Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min1–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-3 (6%), 1-2 (5%), 2-4 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 10, 2026: Avangard Omsk 4, Sochi 1.
- Mar 6, 2026: Sochi 3, Avangard Omsk 1.
- Dec 4, 2025: Avangard Omsk 5, Sochi 2.
- Mar 4, 2025: Sochi 2, Avangard Omsk 3, after overtime.
- Dec 4, 2024: Avangard Omsk 6, Sochi 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–6 at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 29. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Sochi 7.60.
- Win, 2–1 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 27. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.53, Sochi 5.91.
- Win, 4–3 at Lada, Oct 25. Odds: Lada 2.21, Sochi 2.78.
- Win, 3–2 against Dinamo Minsk, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Sochi 4.00, Dinamo Minsk 1.69.
- Loss, 2–5 against Shanghai, Oct 19. Odds: Sochi 3.30, Shanghai 1.92.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lada, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Lada 5.00, Avangard Omsk 1.56.
- Win, 4–0 at Bars Kazan, Oct 28. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.81, Avangard Omsk 2.24.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 26. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.50, Avangard Omsk 2.48.
- Loss, 2–3 against Niznekamsk, Oct 22. Odds: Avangard Omsk 1.92, Niznekamsk 3.35.
- Win, 2–1 against Tractor Chelyabinsk, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Avangard Omsk 1.91, Tractor 3.40.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:46 Goal Sochi: Kagarlitsky D. assists: Fedotov I., Graham J. 1-0
- 11:45 2 min Avangard Omsk: Rashevsky D. Tripping
- 11:57 2 min Sochi: Guskov M. Tripping
- 18:52 2 min Sochi: Graham J. Tripping
2nd period0-0
- 04:33 2 min Avangard Omsk: Afanasyev Y. Tripping
- 15:32 2 min Avangard Omsk: Adamchuk K. Slashing
3rd period0-1
- 00:22 2 min Avangard Omsk: Adamchuk K. Cross checking
- 04:04 2 min Sochi: Slepets K. High sticking
- 04:56 Goal PPG Avangard Omsk: Poturalski A. assists: Leivo J., McLeod M. 1-1
Overtime1-0
- 01:48 2 min Avangard Omsk: Chistyakov S. Tripping
- 02:32 Goal PPG Sochi: Vengryzhanovsky D. assists: Gusev N., Shchetilin A. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Shchetilin A. for Sochi (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Prosvetov I. for Avangard Omsk (5-4-0 in the last 9 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Sochi −1.7, Avangard Omsk +0.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Avangard Omsk.
- −1.0 goals away — Avangard Omsk averaged 2.6 at home and 1.6 away this season.
- Save % gap: Sochi 88.9%, Avangard Omsk 93.0% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOC) | 5.20 | 5.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.80 | 4.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (AVA) | 1.51 | 1.56 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SOC | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 5 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sochi host Avangard Omsk in the KHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.