Sochi vs Cherepovets prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 57% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonCherepovetsodds up 1.80Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCherepovets +0.5odds up 1.26Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCherepovets1.46Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonCherepovets or drawodds up 1.23Confidence 80%
- Draw no betWonCherepovetsodds up 1.41Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.13Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCherepovetsodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.69Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Sochi 1–4
Cherepovets Score details
- Correct scoreWon1–4After 60 min1–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 0-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 1-3 (6%), 1-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSochi
Cherepovets
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Sochi 0–5
Cherepovets - Sep 26, 2026: Cherepovets 3, Sochi 1.
- Jan 21, 2026: Sochi 4, Cherepovets 5, after overtime.
- Dec 25, 2025: Cherepovets 4, Sochi 3, after overtime.
- Nov 6, 2025: Sochi 4, Cherepovets 5, after overtime.
- Oct 9, 2025: Cherepovets 3, Sochi 0.
Last five games
Sochi
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Niznekamsk, Nov 3. Odds: Sochi 3.50, Niznekamsk 1.83.
- Win, 2–1 against Avangard Omsk, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Sochi 5.00, Avangard Omsk 1.56.
- Loss, 2–6 at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 29. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.37, Sochi 7.60.
- Win, 2–1 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 27. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.53, Sochi 5.91.
- Win, 4–3 at Lada, Oct 25. Odds: Lada 2.21, Sochi 2.78.
Cherepovets
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Shanghai, Nov 3. Odds: Shanghai 2.30, Cherepovets 2.50.
- Loss, 1–5 against Spartak Moscow, Oct 30. Odds: Cherepovets 2.85, Spartak Moscow 2.19.
- Win, 3–2 against Spartak Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Cherepovets 2.80, Spartak Moscow 2.22.
- Loss, 0–1 at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
- Loss, 1–3 at Spartak Moscow, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 01:29 2 min Cherepovets: — Too many men on the ice
- 01:59 2 min Cherepovets: Podshivalov I. High sticking
- 07:16 2 min Sochi: Nikolayev I. Delay of game
- 13:42 Goal Cherepovets: Tankov K. assists: Popugayev N. A., Gregoire T. 0-1
2nd period0-3
- 04:59 Goal Cherepovets: Yan D. assists: Abrosimov R., Churkin A. 0-2
- 07:34 Goal Cherepovets: Dumbadze D. assists: Podshivalov I., Nikitin V. 0-3
- 16:15 Goal Cherepovets: Podshivalov I. assists: Tankov K., Churkin A. 0-4
3rd period1-0
- 04:17 Penalty shot missed Cherepovets: Ivantsov I.
- 04:40 2 min Sochi: Petukhov Y. Holding
- 07:14 2 min Cherepovets: Fomin M. High sticking
- 14:03 2 min Sochi: Baldayev V. Holding
- 17:14 2 min Cherepovets: Kozhevnikov A. Tripping
- 18:46 Goal PPG Sochi: Gusev N. assists: Nikolayev I., Fedotov I. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Cherepovets.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Cherepovets.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 10th vs 5th in the KHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOC) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CHE) | 1.83 | 1.84 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap SOC | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 |  Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 5 | Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 6 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 7 |  SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 9 |  Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
| 10 | Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 11 |  Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Sochi host Cherepovets in the KHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.