Södertälje vs BIK Karlskoga prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 23% in regulation
Harenstam L.StartedSV 90.7% · GAA 2.40 · 6-3-1
Lindbom O.StartedSV 89.6% · GAA 2.90 · 2-6-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonSodertaljeodds down 1.70Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostKarlskoga +2.5odds up 1.33Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSodertalje1.39Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonSodertalje or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonSodertaljeodds down 1.36Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSodertaljeodds down 2.23Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.20Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Sodertalje 3–1
Karlskoga Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min3–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formSödertälje
BIK Karlskoga
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Sodertalje 1–4
Karlskoga - Mar 6, 2026: Södertälje 1, BIK Karlskoga 2, after overtime.
- Jan 2, 2026: BIK Karlskoga 2, Södertälje 1, after overtime.
- Nov 14, 2025: BIK Karlskoga 3, Södertälje 1.
- Sep 19, 2025: Södertälje 1, BIK Karlskoga 4.
- Feb 14, 2025: Södertälje 2, BIK Karlskoga 1, after overtime.
Last five games
Sodertalje
4-0-1 - Win, 5–2 against Nybro, Oct 16. Odds: Sodertalje 1.70, Nybro 3.86.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kalmar, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Kalmar 1.90, Sodertalje 3.17.
- Win, 3–1 against Mora, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–2 against Vimmerby, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sodertalje 1.43, Vimmerby 5.75.
- Win, 4–1 at MODO, Oct 7.
Karlskoga
1-3-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Visby/Roma, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Visby/Roma 3.41, Karlskoga 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 against Ostersund, Oct 14. Odds: Karlskoga 2.23, Ostersund 2.69.
- Loss, 2–4 at MODO, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–7 at AIK, Oct 9. Odds: AIK 1.64, Karlskoga 4.10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Mora, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 11:03 Goalie change BIK Karlskoga: Goos M. replaces Lindbom O.
2nd period2-0
- 05:10 Goal Södertälje: Harlestam H. assists: Lundgren J., Arell N. 1-0
- 15:35 Goal PPG Södertälje: Ikonen J. assists: Souch C., Norbe D. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 17:54 Goal ENG Södertälje: Hesselvall A. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Södertälje dropped from 1.49 to 1.38 since they were first published.
- In goal: Harenstam L. for Södertälje (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Lindbom O. for BIK Karlskoga (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Södertälje +0.9, BIK Karlskoga −0.8 over their recent games.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 29.7% on the power play for Södertälje, 70.0% on the penalty kill for BIK Karlskoga.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for BIK Karlskoga.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (SOD) | 1.66 | 1.66 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap SOD | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AIK |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Leksand |
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 |
| 3 |  Kalmar |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 |
| 4 |  Modo |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 | Sodertalje |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 |
| 6 |  Oskarshamn |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 |
| 7 |  Mora |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 |
| 8 | BIK Karlskoga |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 |
| 9 |  Almtuna |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 |
| 10 |  Vasteras |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 |
| 11 |  Ostersund |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 12 |  Vimmerby |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 |
| 13 |  Nybro |
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 |
| 14 |  Visby/Roma |
17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Södertälje host BIK Karlskoga in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.